Serie A · 2023

Fortaleza 4–0 Santos · Serie A

4–0Historical match

Santos

WLDLD

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Fortaleza won 4–0.

Shots
259
Shots on target
103
Expected goals
2.610.52
Possession
54%46%

Full time

What the match recorded

Fortaleza beat Santos 4–0. Recorded in this match (Fortaleza – Santos): shots 25–9, shots on target 10–3, expected goals 2.61–0.52, possession 54%–46%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Santos's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Santos's last-five shots average is below their season average.

7 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season10.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots7 shots/match10.2 shots/match13.7 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Santos have a visible away split

moderate

Santos's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

8 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season10.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots8 shots/match10.2 shots/match13.7 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Fortaleza show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Fortaleza's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

15.1 shots/match ▲ShotsFortaleza · Santos10.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricFortalezaSantosBaseline
Shots15.1 shots/match10.2 shots/match13.7 shots/match
Shots against13.3 shots/match15.6 shots/match13.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots25 shots9 shotsFortaleza 25 shots, Santos 9 shots
  • Shots on target10 shots3 shotsFortaleza 10 shots, Santos 3 shots
  • Expected goals2.61 xG0.52 xGFortaleza 2.61 xG, Santos 0.52 xG
  • Possession54%46%Fortaleza 54%, Santos 46%
  • Corners10 corners6 cornersFortaleza 10 corners, Santos 6 corners
  • Fouls19 fouls20 foulsFortaleza 19 fouls, Santos 20 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Fortaleza
1Draws
0Santos
Santos — Fortaleza · Serie A0–2
Fortaleza — Santos · Serie A0–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Fortaleza favored in 11 of 11 directional metrics · Santos in 0

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Fortaleza19 matchesSantos19 matches
1.11 goals/match ▲Goals scored19/191 goal/match
1 goal/match ▲Goals allowed19/191.63 goals/match
1.46 xG/match ▲Expected goals19/191.03 xG/match
15.1 shots/match ▲Shots19/1910.2 shots/match
5.47 shots/match ▲Shots on target19/193.53 shots/match
48.1% ●Possession19/1943.3%
5.26 corners/match ●Corners19/194.16 corners/match
13.6 fouls/matchFouls19/1916.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples19 / 19home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 14 Aug 2023, 01:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

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