PitchMath
Serie A · 2023

Corinthians 3–1 Vasco da Gama · Serie A

3–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Corinthians won 3–1.

Shots
1223
Shots on target
65
Expected goals
1.31.73
Possession
55%45%

Full time

What the match recorded

Corinthians beat Vasco da Gama 3–1. Recorded in this match (Corinthians – Vasco da Gama): shots 12–23, shots on target 6–5, expected goals 1.3–1.73, possession 55%–45%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Vasco da Gama's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Vasco da Gama's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.75 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.4 goals/match0.75 goals/match1.12 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Corinthians have a visible home split

moderate

Corinthians's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

14.6 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season11.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots14.6 shots/match11.9 shots/match13.9 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots12 shots23 shotsCorinthians 12 shots, Vasco da Gama 23 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots5 shotsCorinthians 6 shots, Vasco da Gama 5 shots
  • Expected goals1.3 xG1.73 xGCorinthians 1.3 xG, Vasco da Gama 1.73 xG
  • Possession55%45%Corinthians 55%, Vasco da Gama 45%
  • Corners0 corners6 cornersCorinthians 0 corners, Vasco da Gama 6 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls11 foulsCorinthians 12 fouls, Vasco da Gama 11 fouls

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Corinthians favored in 6 of 11 directional metrics · Vasco da Gama in 5

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Corinthians16 matchesVasco da Gama16 matches
0.94 goals/match ▲Goals scored16/160.75 goals/match
1.13 goals/match ▲Goals allowed16/161.75 goals/match
0.99 xG/matchExpected goals16/16▲ 1.26 xG/match
11.9 shots/matchShots16/16▲ 13.7 shots/match
3.88 shots/match ▲Shots on target16/163.63 shots/match
47%Possession16/16● 48.5%
4.75 corners/matchCorners16/16● 5.88 corners/match
13.3 fouls/matchFouls16/1615.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples16 / 16home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 30 Jul 2023, 01:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsCorinthiansVasco da Gama
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2023
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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