PitchMath
Serie A · 2023

Vasco da Gama 0–2 Athletico · Serie A

0–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Athletico won 0–2.

Shots
189
Shots on target
22
Expected goals
1.531.26
Possession
57%43%

Full time

What the match recorded

Athletico beat Vasco da Gama 2–0. Recorded in this match (Vasco da Gama – Athletico): shots 18–9, shots on target 2–2, expected goals 1.53–1.26, possession 57%–43%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Vasco da Gama's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Vasco da Gama's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.73 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.2 goals/match0.73 goals/match1.13 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Athletico have a visible away split

moderate

Athletico's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

11 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season14.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots11 shots/match14.6 shots/match13.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots18 shots9 shotsVasco da Gama 18 shots, Athletico 9 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots2 shotsVasco da Gama 2 shots, Athletico 2 shots
  • Expected goals1.53 xG1.26 xGVasco da Gama 1.53 xG, Athletico 1.26 xG
  • Possession57%43%Vasco da Gama 57%, Athletico 43%
  • Corners8 corners2 cornersVasco da Gama 8 corners, Athletico 2 corners
  • Fouls19 fouls21 foulsVasco da Gama 19 fouls, Athletico 21 fouls

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Vasco da Gama favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Athletico in 8 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Vasco da Gama15 matchesAthletico16 matches
0.73 goals/matchGoals scored15/16▲ 1.38 goals/match
1.67 goals/matchGoals allowed15/16▲ 1.13 goals/match
1.23 xG/matchExpected goals15/16▲ 1.51 xG/match
13.1 shots/matchShots15/16▲ 14.6 shots/match
3.53 shots/matchShots on target15/16▲ 4.31 shots/match
48.7% ●Possession15/1647.4%
5.87 corners/match ●Corners15/164.5 corners/match
16 fouls/matchFouls15/1615.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples15 / 16home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 24 Jul 2023, 01:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsVasco da GamaAthletico
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2023
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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