PitchMath
Serie A · 2023

Cruzeiro 0–1 Goiás · Serie A

0–1Historical match

Goiás

WLLLD

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Goiás won 0–1.

Shots
167
Shots on target
12
Expected goals
1.060.3
Possession
69%31%

Full time

What the match recorded

Goiás beat Cruzeiro 1–0. Recorded in this match (Cruzeiro – Goiás): shots 16–7, shots on target 1–2, expected goals 1.06–0.3, possession 69%–31%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Cruzeiro's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Cruzeiro's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1 goal/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.4 goals/match1 goal/match1.13 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots16 shots7 shotsCruzeiro 16 shots, Goiás 7 shots
  • Shots on target1 shot2 shotsCruzeiro 1 shot, Goiás 2 shots
  • Expected goals1.06 xG0.3 xGCruzeiro 1.06 xG, Goiás 0.3 xG
  • Possession69%31%Cruzeiro 69%, Goiás 31%
  • Corners13 corners1 cornerCruzeiro 13 corners, Goiás 1 corner
  • Fouls8 fouls21 foulsCruzeiro 8 fouls, Goiás 21 fouls

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Cruzeiro favored in 10 of 11 directional metrics · Goiás in 0 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Cruzeiro16 matchesGoiás16 matches
1 goal/match ▲Goals scored16/160.94 goals/match
0.75 goals/match ▲Goals allowed16/161.63 goals/match
1.39 xG/match ▲Expected goals16/161.04 xG/match
14.4 shots/match ▲Shots16/1613.3 shots/match
4.31 shots/match ▲Shots on target16/163.94 shots/match
53.3% ●Possession16/1646.3%
7.44 corners/match ●Corners16/165.81 corners/match
14.3 fouls/matchFouls16/1617.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples16 / 16home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 23 Jul 2023, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsCruzeiroGoiás
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2023
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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