Serie A · 2023

Atlético Mineiro 1–2 Flamengo · Serie A

1–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Flamengo won 1–2.

Shots
206
Shots on target
55
Expected goals
0.871.78
Possession
39%61%

Full time

What the match recorded

Flamengo beat Atlético Mineiro 2–1. Recorded in this match (Atlético Mineiro – Flamengo): shots 20–6, shots on target 5–5, expected goals 0.87–1.78, possession 39%–61%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Atlético Mineiro's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Atlético Mineiro's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.12 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match1.12 goals/match1.12 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Flamengo have a visible away split

moderate

Flamengo's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

10.7 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season13.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots10.7 shots/match13.1 shots/match13.9 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Atlético Mineiro show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Atlético Mineiro's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

14.9 shots/match ▲ShotsAtlético Mineiro · Flamengo13.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricAtlético MineiroFlamengoBaseline
Shots14.9 shots/match13.1 shots/match13.9 shots/match
Shots against11 shots/match16.4 shots/match13.6 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots20 shots6 shotsAtlético Mineiro 20 shots, Flamengo 6 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots5 shotsAtlético Mineiro 5 shots, Flamengo 5 shots
  • Expected goals0.87 xG1.78 xGAtlético Mineiro 0.87 xG, Flamengo 1.78 xG
  • Possession39%61%Atlético Mineiro 39%, Flamengo 61%
  • Corners7 corners2 cornersAtlético Mineiro 7 corners, Flamengo 2 corners
  • Fouls21 fouls14 foulsAtlético Mineiro 21 fouls, Flamengo 14 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Atlético Mineiro
0Draws
1Flamengo
Flamengo — Atlético Mineiro · Serie A1–0
Atlético Mineiro — Flamengo · Serie A2–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Atlético Mineiro favored in 7 of 11 directional metrics · Flamengo in 4

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Atlético Mineiro17 matchesFlamengo17 matches
1.12 goals/matchGoals scored17/17▲ 1.76 goals/match
1 goal/match ▲Goals allowed17/171.18 goals/match
1.3 xG/matchExpected goals17/17▲ 1.58 xG/match
14.9 shots/match ▲Shots17/1713.1 shots/match
4.94 shots/match ▲Shots on target17/174.65 shots/match
56.6%Possession17/17● 58.6%
5.94 corners/match ●Corners17/174.82 corners/match
16.5 fouls/matchFouls17/1714.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples17 / 17home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 30 Jul 2023, 04:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

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