PitchMath
Serie A · 2023

América Mineiro 1–4 Palmeiras · Serie A

1–4Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Palmeiras won 1–4.

Shots
1514
Shots on target
77
Expected goals
1.40.92
Possession
49%51%

Full time

What the match recorded

Palmeiras beat América Mineiro 4–1. Recorded in this match (América Mineiro – Palmeiras): shots 15–14, shots on target 7–7, expected goals 1.4–0.92, possession 49%–51%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Palmeiras have a visible away split

moderate

Palmeiras's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

12.6 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season15.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots12.6 shots/match15.5 shots/match13.9 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Palmeiras have recorded the higher season possession share.

43.4%PossessionAmérica Mineiro · Palmeiras● 53.4%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 10.0 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricAmérica MineiroPalmeirasBaseline
Possession43.4%53.4%48.1%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots15 shots14 shotsAmérica Mineiro 15 shots, Palmeiras 14 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots7 shotsAmérica Mineiro 7 shots, Palmeiras 7 shots
  • Expected goals1.4 xG0.92 xGAmérica Mineiro 1.4 xG, Palmeiras 0.92 xG
  • Possession49%51%América Mineiro 49%, Palmeiras 51%
  • Corners5 corners4 cornersAmérica Mineiro 5 corners, Palmeiras 4 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls12 foulsAmérica Mineiro 13 fouls, Palmeiras 12 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0América Mineiro
0Draws
2Palmeiras
Palmeiras — América Mineiro · Serie A2–1
América Mineiro — Palmeiras · Serie A0–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: América Mineiro favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Palmeiras in 9 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

América Mineiro16 matchesPalmeiras17 matches
1.13 goals/matchGoals scored16/17▲ 1.88 goals/match
2.31 goals/matchGoals allowed16/17▲ 0.88 goals/match
1.38 xG/matchExpected goals16/17▲ 1.61 xG/match
15.1 shots/matchShots16/1715.5 shots/match
4.69 shots/matchShots on target16/17▲ 5.35 shots/match
43.4%Possession16/17● 53.4%
4.94 corners/matchCorners16/17● 6.53 corners/match
16.3 fouls/matchFouls16/1715.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples16 / 17home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 30 Jul 2023, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsAmérica MineiroPalmeiras
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2023
Head-to-headAmérica Mineiro — Palmeiras
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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