PitchMath
Serie A · 2023

Goiás 1–0 Fortaleza · Serie A

Goiás

LLDWD
1–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Goiás won 1–0.

Shots
912
Shots on target
36
Expected goals
0.870.67
Possession
36%64%

Full time

What the match recorded

Goiás beat Fortaleza 1–0. Recorded in this match (Goiás – Fortaleza): shots 9–12, shots on target 3–6, expected goals 0.87–0.67, possession 36%–64%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Fortaleza's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Fortaleza's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.94 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.4 goals/match0.94 goals/match1.12 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots9 shots12 shotsGoiás 9 shots, Fortaleza 12 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots6 shotsGoiás 3 shots, Fortaleza 6 shots
  • Expected goals0.87 xG0.67 xGGoiás 0.87 xG, Fortaleza 0.67 xG
  • Possession36%64%Goiás 36%, Fortaleza 64%
  • Corners5 corners2 cornersGoiás 5 corners, Fortaleza 2 corners
  • Fouls15 fouls10 foulsGoiás 15 fouls, Fortaleza 10 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Goiás
1Draws
1Fortaleza
Goiás — Fortaleza · Serie A0–1
Fortaleza — Goiás · Serie A1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Goiás favored in 1 of 11 directional metrics · Fortaleza in 8 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Goiás18 matchesFortaleza18 matches
0.94 goals/matchGoals scored18/180.94 goals/match
1.5 goals/matchGoals allowed18/18▲ 1.06 goals/match
1.02 xG/matchExpected goals18/18▲ 1.4 xG/match
13.2 shots/matchShots18/18▲ 14.6 shots/match
3.78 shots/matchShots on target18/18▲ 5.22 shots/match
45.6%Possession18/18● 47.8%
5.78 corners/match ●Corners18/185 corners/match
17.5 fouls/matchFouls18/1813.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples18 / 18home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 6 Aug 2023, 01:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsGoiásFortaleza
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2023
Head-to-headGoiás — Fortaleza
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Turn this match into a graphicReady-made from PitchMath data · No sign-up required