Primera A · 2026

Once Caldas 0–1 América de Cali · Primera A

0–1Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

América de Cali won 0–1.

Shots
1317
Shots on target
55
Expected goals
0.591.3
Possession
47%53%

Full time

What the match recorded

América de Cali beat Once Caldas 1–0. Recorded in this match (Once Caldas – América de Cali): shots 13–17, shots on target 5–5, expected goals 0.59–1.3, possession 47%–53%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

América de Cali's recent record differs from the season

moderate

América de Cali's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.5 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.2 goals/match1.5 goals/match1.29 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Once Caldas, América de Cali.

3.02 days ▲Rest daysOnce Caldas · América de Cali3.11 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricOnce CaldasAmérica de CaliBaseline
Rest days3.02 days3.11 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

América de Cali have a visible away split

moderate

América de Cali's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

10.9 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season13.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots10.9 shots/match13.6 shots/match12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots13 shots17 shotsOnce Caldas 13 shots, América de Cali 17 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots5 shotsOnce Caldas 5 shots, América de Cali 5 shots
  • Expected goals0.59 xG1.3 xGOnce Caldas 0.59 xG, América de Cali 1.3 xG
  • Possession47%53%Once Caldas 47%, América de Cali 53%
  • Corners3 corners5 cornersOnce Caldas 3 corners, América de Cali 5 corners
  • Fouls8 fouls9 foulsOnce Caldas 8 fouls, América de Cali 9 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Once Caldas
1Draws
0América de Cali
América de Cali — Once Caldas · Primera A1–1

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Once Caldas favored in 4 of 13 directional metrics · América de Cali in 7 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Once Caldas24 matchesAmérica de Cali24 matches
1.67 goals/match ▲Goals scored24/241.5 goals/match
1.21 goals/matchGoals allowed24/24▲ 0.83 goals/match
1.07 xG/matchExpected goals21/21▲ 1.14 xG/match
14.5 shots/match ▲Shots24/2413.6 shots/match
5.71 shots/match ▲Shots on target24/244.58 shots/match
53.3%Possession24/24● 55.2%
5.29 corners/match ●Corners24/243.75 corners/match
3 cards/matchCards6/83.63 cards/match
9.88 fouls/matchFouls24/2412.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples24 / 24home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Thu, 6 Aug 2026, 05:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primera A

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