PitchMath
Premier League · 2022

Ural Yekaterinburg 1–2 Akhmat Grozny · Premier League

1–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Akhmat Grozny won 1–2.

Shots
1613
Shots on target
56
Expected goals
21.12
Possession
60%40%

Full time

What the match recorded

Akhmat Grozny beat Ural Yekaterinburg 2–1. Recorded in this match (Ural Yekaterinburg – Akhmat Grozny): shots 16–13, shots on target 5–6, expected goals 2–1.12, possession 60%–40%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Ural Yekaterinburg's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Ural Yekaterinburg's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.5 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match0.5 goals/match1.64 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Ural Yekaterinburg have recorded the higher season possession share.

52% ●PossessionUral Yekaterinburg · Akhmat Grozny42.8%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 9.2 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricUral YekaterinburgAkhmat GroznyBaseline
Possession52%42.8%50.1%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots16 shots13 shotsUral Yekaterinburg 16 shots, Akhmat Grozny 13 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots6 shotsUral Yekaterinburg 5 shots, Akhmat Grozny 6 shots
  • Expected goals2 xG1.12 xGUral Yekaterinburg 2 xG, Akhmat Grozny 1.12 xG
  • Possession60%40%Ural Yekaterinburg 60%, Akhmat Grozny 40%
  • Corners11 corners4 cornersUral Yekaterinburg 11 corners, Akhmat Grozny 4 corners
  • Fouls9 fouls9 foulsUral Yekaterinburg 9 fouls, Akhmat Grozny 9 fouls

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Ural Yekaterinburg favored in 1 of 11 directional metrics · Akhmat Grozny in 8 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Ural Yekaterinburg10 matchesAkhmat Grozny10 matches
0.5 goals/matchGoals scored10/10▲ 1.5 goals/match
1.9 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲ 1.6 goals/match
1.12 xG/matchExpected goals8/10▲ 1.36 xG/match
13.3 shots/matchShots10/1012.8 shots/match
3.7 shots/matchShots on target10/10▲ 5.3 shots/match
52% ●Possession10/1042.8%
5.8 corners/match ●Corners10/103.6 corners/match
12.4 fouls/matchFouls10/1011.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples10 / 10home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 17 Sept 2022, 13:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsUral YekaterinburgAkhmat Grozny
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2022/23
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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