PitchMath
Premier League · 2022

FC Rostov 2–1 Krylya Sovetov Samara · Premier League

2–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

FC Rostov won 2–1.

Shots
1016
Shots on target
34
Expected goals
1.152.68
Possession
46%54%

Full time

What the match recorded

FC Rostov beat Krylya Sovetov Samara 2–1. Recorded in this match (FC Rostov – Krylya Sovetov Samara): shots 10–16, shots on target 3–4, expected goals 1.15–2.68, possession 46%–54%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Krylya Sovetov Samara's recent record differs from the season

weak

Krylya Sovetov Samara's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1 goal/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1 goal/match1.55 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots10 shots16 shotsFC Rostov 10 shots, Krylya Sovetov Samara 16 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots4 shotsFC Rostov 3 shots, Krylya Sovetov Samara 4 shots
  • Expected goals1.15 xG2.68 xGFC Rostov 1.15 xG, Krylya Sovetov Samara 2.68 xG
  • Possession46%54%FC Rostov 46%, Krylya Sovetov Samara 54%
  • Corners5 corners4 cornersFC Rostov 5 corners, Krylya Sovetov Samara 4 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls8 foulsFC Rostov 10 fouls, Krylya Sovetov Samara 8 fouls

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: FC Rostov favored in 8 of 11 directional metrics · Krylya Sovetov Samara in 3

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

FC Rostov10 matchesKrylya Sovetov Samara10 matches
1.9 goals/match ▲Goals scored10/101 goal/match
1.2 goals/match ▲Goals allowed10/101.4 goals/match
1.73 xG/matchExpected goals10/8▲ 1.86 xG/match
13.4 shots/matchShots10/10▲ 14.3 shots/match
5 shots/matchShots on target10/10▲ 5.4 shots/match
53.1% ●Possession10/1049.7%
5.8 corners/match ●Corners10/104.7 corners/match
8.6 fouls/matchFouls10/107.9 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples10 / 10home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 17 Sept 2022, 17:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsFC RostovKrylya Sovetov Samara
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2022/23
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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