PitchMath
Premier League · 2022

Zenit St. Petersburg 3–1 FC Rostov · Premier League

3–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Zenit St. Petersburg won 3–1.

Shots
217
Shots on target
92
Expected goals
3.150.57
Possession
54%46%

Full time

What the match recorded

Zenit St. Petersburg beat FC Rostov 3–1. Recorded in this match (Zenit St. Petersburg – FC Rostov): shots 21–7, shots on target 9–2, expected goals 3.15–0.57, possession 54%–46%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Zenit St. Petersburg's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Zenit St. Petersburg's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

3.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season2.91 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for3.8 goals/match2.91 goals/match1.55 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

FC Rostov show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

FC Rostov's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

19.3 shots/match ▲ShotsZenit St. Petersburg · FC Rostov12.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricZenit St. PetersburgFC RostovBaseline
Shots19.3 shots/match12.8 shots/match13.8 shots/match
Shots against7.36 shots/match13 shots/match14 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Both teams have elevated corners records

moderate

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

6.18 corners/match ●CornersZenit St. Petersburg · FC Rostov5.55 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricZenit St. PetersburgFC RostovBaseline
Corners6.18 corners/match5.55 corners/match4.44 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots21 shots7 shotsZenit St. Petersburg 21 shots, FC Rostov 7 shots
  • Shots on target9 shots2 shotsZenit St. Petersburg 9 shots, FC Rostov 2 shots
  • Expected goals3.15 xG0.57 xGZenit St. Petersburg 3.15 xG, FC Rostov 0.57 xG
  • Possession54%46%Zenit St. Petersburg 54%, FC Rostov 46%
  • Corners5 corners3 cornersZenit St. Petersburg 5 corners, FC Rostov 3 corners
  • Fouls14 fouls7 foulsZenit St. Petersburg 14 fouls, FC Rostov 7 fouls

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Zenit St. Petersburg favored in 10 of 11 directional metrics · FC Rostov in 0 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Zenit St. Petersburg11 matchesFC Rostov11 matches
2.91 goals/match ▲Goals scored11/111.82 goals/match
0.36 goals/match ▲Goals allowed11/111.36 goals/match
2.49 xG/match ▲Expected goals8/111.63 xG/match
19.3 shots/match ▲Shots11/1112.8 shots/match
7.27 shots/match ▲Shots on target11/114.73 shots/match
60.3% ●Possession11/1152.5%
6.18 corners/match ●Corners11/115.55 corners/match
7.18 fouls/matchFouls11/118.45 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples11 / 11home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 2 Oct 2022, 17:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsZenit St. PetersburgFC Rostov
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2022/23
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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