PitchMath
Premier League · 2022

FC Rostov 3–2 FK Krasnodar · Premier League

3–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

FC Rostov won 3–2.

Shots
2317
Shots on target
106
Expected goals
3.31.63
Possession
53%47%

Full time

What the match recorded

FC Rostov beat FK Krasnodar 3–2. Recorded in this match (FC Rostov – FK Krasnodar): shots 23–17, shots on target 10–6, expected goals 3.3–1.63, possession 53%–47%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

FK Krasnodar's recent record differs from the season

weak

FK Krasnodar's last-five shots average is below their season average.

11.6 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season14.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots11.6 shots/match14.6 shots/match13.8 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

FK Krasnodar have a visible away split

moderate

FK Krasnodar's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

12.3 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season14.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots12.3 shots/match14.6 shots/match13.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots23 shots17 shotsFC Rostov 23 shots, FK Krasnodar 17 shots
  • Shots on target10 shots6 shotsFC Rostov 10 shots, FK Krasnodar 6 shots
  • Expected goals3.3 xG1.63 xGFC Rostov 3.3 xG, FK Krasnodar 1.63 xG
  • Possession53%47%FC Rostov 53%, FK Krasnodar 47%
  • Corners2 corners3 cornersFC Rostov 2 corners, FK Krasnodar 3 corners
  • Fouls16 fouls12 foulsFC Rostov 16 fouls, FK Krasnodar 12 fouls

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: FC Rostov favored in 6 of 11 directional metrics · FK Krasnodar in 2 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

FC Rostov12 matchesFK Krasnodar12 matches
1.92 goals/matchGoals scored12/121.92 goals/match
1.42 goals/matchGoals allowed12/121.42 goals/match
1.77 xG/match ▲Expected goals12/101.66 xG/match
13.7 shots/matchShots12/12▲ 14.6 shots/match
5.17 shots/matchShots on target12/125.33 shots/match
52.5%Possession12/12● 55.2%
5.25 corners/match ●Corners12/123.67 corners/match
9.08 fouls/matchFouls12/1210.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples12 / 12home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 9 Oct 2022, 20:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsFC RostovFK Krasnodar
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2022/23
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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