Premier League · 2022

FK Krasnodar 2–3 Akhmat Grozny · Premier League

2–3Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Akhmat Grozny won 2–3.

Shots
2113
Shots on target
66
Expected goals
2.171.38
Possession
62%38%

Full time

What the match recorded

Akhmat Grozny beat FK Krasnodar 3–2. Recorded in this match (FK Krasnodar – Akhmat Grozny): shots 21–13, shots on target 6–6, expected goals 2.17–1.38, possession 62%–38%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

FK Krasnodar's recent record differs from the season

weak

FK Krasnodar's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.92 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match1.92 goals/match1.62 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

FK Krasnodar have a visible home split

moderate

FK Krasnodar's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

17.4 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season15.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots17.4 shots/match15.1 shots/match13.3 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

FK Krasnodar have recorded the higher season possession share.

55.7% ●PossessionFK Krasnodar · Akhmat Grozny42.7%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 13.0 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricFK KrasnodarAkhmat GroznyBaseline
Possession55.7%42.7%50.2%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots21 shots13 shotsFK Krasnodar 21 shots, Akhmat Grozny 13 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots6 shotsFK Krasnodar 6 shots, Akhmat Grozny 6 shots
  • Expected goals2.17 xG1.38 xGFK Krasnodar 2.17 xG, Akhmat Grozny 1.38 xG
  • Possession62%38%FK Krasnodar 62%, Akhmat Grozny 38%
  • Corners6 corners8 cornersFK Krasnodar 6 corners, Akhmat Grozny 8 corners
  • Fouls8 fouls12 foulsFK Krasnodar 8 fouls, Akhmat Grozny 12 fouls

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: FK Krasnodar favored in 4 of 11 directional metrics · Akhmat Grozny in 3 · 4 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

FK Krasnodar13 matchesAkhmat Grozny13 matches
1.92 goals/match ▲Goals scored13/131.62 goals/match
1.54 goals/matchGoals allowed13/131.62 goals/match
1.7 xG/match ▲Expected goals11/131.32 xG/match
15.1 shots/match ▲Shots13/1312.9 shots/match
5.38 shots/matchShots on target13/135.31 shots/match
55.7% ●Possession13/1342.7%
3.85 corners/matchCorners13/13● 4 corners/match
10.3 fouls/matchFouls13/1311.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples13 / 13home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 15 Oct 2022, 17:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

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