PitchMath
Premier League · 2022

FC Rostov 1–2 Ural Yekaterinburg · Premier League

1–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Ural Yekaterinburg won 1–2.

Shots
77
Shots on target
12
Expected goals
1.310.98
Possession
52%48%

Full time

What the match recorded

Ural Yekaterinburg beat FC Rostov 2–1. Recorded in this match (FC Rostov – Ural Yekaterinburg): shots 7–7, shots on target 1–2, expected goals 1.31–0.98, possession 52%–48%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Ural Yekaterinburg's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Ural Yekaterinburg's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1 goal/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.2 goals/match1 goal/match1.5 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Both teams have elevated corners records

weak

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

5.23 corners/matchCornersFC Rostov · Ural Yekaterinburg● 5.62 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricFC RostovUral YekaterinburgBaseline
Corners5.23 corners/match5.62 corners/match4.63 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots7 shots7 shotsFC Rostov 7 shots, Ural Yekaterinburg 7 shots
  • Shots on target1 shot2 shotsFC Rostov 1 shot, Ural Yekaterinburg 2 shots
  • Expected goals1.31 xG0.98 xGFC Rostov 1.31 xG, Ural Yekaterinburg 0.98 xG
  • Possession52%48%FC Rostov 52%, Ural Yekaterinburg 48%
  • Corners5 corners4 cornersFC Rostov 5 corners, Ural Yekaterinburg 4 corners
  • Fouls7 fouls12 foulsFC Rostov 7 fouls, Ural Yekaterinburg 12 fouls

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: FC Rostov favored in 10 of 11 directional metrics · Ural Yekaterinburg in 0 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

FC Rostov13 matchesUral Yekaterinburg13 matches
1.85 goals/match ▲Goals scored13/131 goal/match
1.46 goals/match ▲Goals allowed13/131.77 goals/match
1.73 xG/match ▲Expected goals13/111.35 xG/match
13.2 shots/matchShots13/1313.4 shots/match
4.85 shots/match ▲Shots on target13/133.92 shots/match
52.5% ●Possession13/1351.3%
5.23 corners/matchCorners13/13● 5.62 corners/match
8.92 fouls/matchFouls13/1311.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples13 / 13home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 14 Oct 2022, 20:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsFC RostovUral Yekaterinburg
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2022/23
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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