PitchMath
Premier League · 2022

Fakel Voronezh 1–1 Zenit St. Petersburg · Premier League

1–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Fakel Voronezh and Zenit St. Petersburg drew 1–1.

Shots
523
Shots on target
45
Expected goals
0.531.66
Possession
21%79%

Full time

What the match recorded

Fakel Voronezh and Zenit St. Petersburg drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Fakel Voronezh – Zenit St. Petersburg): shots 5–23, shots on target 4–5, expected goals 0.53–1.66, possession 21%–79%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Fakel Voronezh show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

Fakel Voronezh's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

11 shots/match ▲ShotsFakel Voronezh · Zenit St. Petersburg19.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricFakel VoronezhZenit St. PetersburgBaseline
Shots11 shots/match19.6 shots/match13.8 shots/match
Shots against16.4 shots/match7.17 shots/match14.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Zenit St. Petersburg have recorded the higher season possession share.

40%PossessionFakel Voronezh · Zenit St. Petersburg● 61.8%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 21.8 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricFakel VoronezhZenit St. PetersburgBaseline
Possession40%61.8%50.4%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Fakel Voronezh's recent record differs from the season

weak

Fakel Voronezh's last-five shots average is below their season average.

8.6 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season11 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots8.6 shots/match11 shots/match13.8 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots5 shots23 shotsFakel Voronezh 5 shots, Zenit St. Petersburg 23 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots5 shotsFakel Voronezh 4 shots, Zenit St. Petersburg 5 shots
  • Expected goals0.53 xG1.66 xGFakel Voronezh 0.53 xG, Zenit St. Petersburg 1.66 xG
  • Possession21%79%Fakel Voronezh 21%, Zenit St. Petersburg 79%
  • Corners3 corners8 cornersFakel Voronezh 3 corners, Zenit St. Petersburg 8 corners
  • Fouls15 fouls6 foulsFakel Voronezh 15 fouls, Zenit St. Petersburg 6 fouls

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Fakel Voronezh favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Zenit St. Petersburg in 10 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Fakel Voronezh12 matchesZenit St. Petersburg12 matches
1.33 goals/matchGoals scored12/12▲ 2.75 goals/match
1.92 goals/matchGoals allowed12/12▲ 0.42 goals/match
1.17 xG/matchExpected goals12/9▲ 2.39 xG/match
11 shots/matchShots12/12▲ 19.6 shots/match
4.75 shots/matchShots on target12/12▲ 7.08 shots/match
40%Possession12/12● 61.8%
3.83 corners/matchCorners12/12● 6.33 corners/match
11.9 fouls/matchFouls12/127.08 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples12 / 12home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 8 Oct 2022, 15:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsFakel VoronezhZenit St. Petersburg
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2022/23
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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