PitchMath
Premier League · 2022

FC Sochi 4–0 Lokomotiv Moscow · Premier League

4–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

FC Sochi won 4–0.

Shots
1510
Shots on target
81
Expected goals
1.341.07
Possession
52%48%

Full time

What the match recorded

FC Sochi beat Lokomotiv Moscow 4–0. Recorded in this match (FC Sochi – Lokomotiv Moscow): shots 15–10, shots on target 8–1, expected goals 1.34–1.07, possession 52%–48%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Lokomotiv Moscow's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Lokomotiv Moscow's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.25 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match1.25 goals/match1.55 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Lokomotiv Moscow have a visible away split

moderate

Lokomotiv Moscow's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

8.83 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season13.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots8.83 shots/match13.4 shots/match13.7 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots15 shots10 shotsFC Sochi 15 shots, Lokomotiv Moscow 10 shots
  • Shots on target8 shots1 shotFC Sochi 8 shots, Lokomotiv Moscow 1 shot
  • Expected goals1.34 xG1.07 xGFC Sochi 1.34 xG, Lokomotiv Moscow 1.07 xG
  • Possession52%48%FC Sochi 52%, Lokomotiv Moscow 48%
  • Corners9 corners2 cornersFC Sochi 9 corners, Lokomotiv Moscow 2 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls13 foulsFC Sochi 12 fouls, Lokomotiv Moscow 13 fouls

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: FC Sochi favored in 10 of 11 directional metrics · Lokomotiv Moscow in 0 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

FC Sochi12 matchesLokomotiv Moscow12 matches
1.83 goals/match ▲Goals scored12/121.25 goals/match
1.67 goals/match ▲Goals allowed12/122.17 goals/match
2.11 xG/match ▲Expected goals9/121.61 xG/match
16 shots/match ▲Shots12/1213.4 shots/match
5.67 shots/match ▲Shots on target12/125.08 shots/match
57.5% ●Possession12/1251.3%
6.58 corners/match ●Corners12/124.58 corners/match
10.2 fouls/matchFouls12/1212.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples12 / 12home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 8 Oct 2022, 20:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsFC SochiLokomotiv Moscow
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2022/23
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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