PitchMath
Premier League · 2022

Akhmat Grozny 2–1 Dynamo Moscow · Premier League

2–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Akhmat Grozny won 2–1.

Shots
1013
Shots on target
62
Expected goals
0.841.88
Possession
41%59%

Full time

What the match recorded

Akhmat Grozny beat Dynamo Moscow 2–1. Recorded in this match (Akhmat Grozny – Dynamo Moscow): shots 10–13, shots on target 6–2, expected goals 0.84–1.88, possession 41%–59%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Dynamo Moscow's recent record differs from the season

weak

Dynamo Moscow's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.55 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match1.55 goals/match1.55 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots10 shots13 shotsAkhmat Grozny 10 shots, Dynamo Moscow 13 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots2 shotsAkhmat Grozny 6 shots, Dynamo Moscow 2 shots
  • Expected goals0.84 xG1.88 xGAkhmat Grozny 0.84 xG, Dynamo Moscow 1.88 xG
  • Possession41%59%Akhmat Grozny 41%, Dynamo Moscow 59%
  • Corners4 corners5 cornersAkhmat Grozny 4 corners, Dynamo Moscow 5 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls8 foulsAkhmat Grozny 12 fouls, Dynamo Moscow 8 fouls

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Akhmat Grozny favored in 5 of 11 directional metrics · Dynamo Moscow in 5 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Akhmat Grozny11 matchesDynamo Moscow11 matches
1.55 goals/matchGoals scored11/111.55 goals/match
1.55 goals/matchGoals allowed11/11▲ 1.18 goals/match
1.32 xG/matchExpected goals11/5▲ 1.93 xG/match
12.5 shots/match ▲Shots11/1111.4 shots/match
5.36 shots/match ▲Shots on target11/113.45 shots/match
42.6%Possession11/11● 44.1%
3.64 corners/matchCorners11/11● 4.09 corners/match
11.4 fouls/matchFouls11/1111.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples11 / 11home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 2 Oct 2022, 20:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsAkhmat GroznyDynamo Moscow
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2022/23
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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