PitchMath
Premier League · 2022

Akhmat Grozny 1–2 FC Rostov · Premier League

1–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

FC Rostov won 1–2.

Shots
1614
Shots on target
33
Expected goals
1.91.5
Possession
44%56%

Full time

What the match recorded

FC Rostov beat Akhmat Grozny 2–1. Recorded in this match (Akhmat Grozny – FC Rostov): shots 16–14, shots on target 3–3, expected goals 1.9–1.5, possession 44%–56%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

FC Rostov have recorded the higher season possession share.

43.5%PossessionAkhmat Grozny · FC Rostov● 52.7%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 9.2 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricAkhmat GroznyFC RostovBaseline
Possession43.5%52.7%49.6%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots16 shots14 shotsAkhmat Grozny 16 shots, FC Rostov 14 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots3 shotsAkhmat Grozny 3 shots, FC Rostov 3 shots
  • Expected goals1.9 xG1.5 xGAkhmat Grozny 1.9 xG, FC Rostov 1.5 xG
  • Possession44%56%Akhmat Grozny 44%, FC Rostov 56%
  • Corners6 corners2 cornersAkhmat Grozny 6 corners, FC Rostov 2 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls12 foulsAkhmat Grozny 12 fouls, FC Rostov 12 fouls

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Akhmat Grozny favored in 1 of 11 directional metrics · FC Rostov in 6 · 4 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Akhmat Grozny15 matchesFC Rostov15 matches
1.53 goals/matchGoals scored15/15▲ 1.8 goals/match
1.53 goals/matchGoals allowed15/15▲ 1.4 goals/match
1.4 xG/matchExpected goals15/15▲ 1.68 xG/match
13.2 shots/matchShots15/1513.5 shots/match
5.2 shots/match ▲Shots on target15/154.8 shots/match
43.5%Possession15/15● 52.7%
4 corners/matchCorners15/15● 4.93 corners/match
11.1 fouls/matchFouls15/159.33 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples15 / 15home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 29 Oct 2022, 17:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsAkhmat GroznyFC Rostov
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2022/23
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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