PitchMath
Premier League · 2022

Akhmat Grozny 1–0 Torpedo Moskva · Premier League

1–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Akhmat Grozny won 1–0.

Shots
149
Shots on target
62
Expected goals
1.931.69
Possession
53%47%

Full time

What the match recorded

Akhmat Grozny beat Torpedo Moscow 1–0. Recorded in this match (Akhmat Grozny – Torpedo Moscow): shots 14–9, shots on target 6–2, expected goals 1.93–1.69, possession 53%–47%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Akhmat Grozny show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Akhmat Grozny's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

13 shots/match ▲ShotsAkhmat Grozny · Torpedo Moscow8.93 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricAkhmat GroznyTorpedo MoscowBaseline
Shots13 shots/match8.93 shots/match13.4 shots/match
Shots against14.7 shots/match20.6 shots/match14.4 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Torpedo Moscow's recent record differs from the season

weak

Torpedo Moscow's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.5 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match0.5 goals/match1.63 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots14 shots9 shotsAkhmat Grozny 14 shots, Torpedo Moskva 9 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots2 shotsAkhmat Grozny 6 shots, Torpedo Moskva 2 shots
  • Expected goals1.93 xG1.69 xGAkhmat Grozny 1.93 xG, Torpedo Moskva 1.69 xG
  • Possession53%47%Akhmat Grozny 53%, Torpedo Moskva 47%
  • Corners2 corners6 cornersAkhmat Grozny 2 corners, Torpedo Moskva 6 corners
  • Fouls7 fouls17 foulsAkhmat Grozny 7 fouls, Torpedo Moskva 17 fouls

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Akhmat Grozny favored in 9 of 11 directional metrics · Torpedo Moskva in 0 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Akhmat Grozny14 matchesTorpedo Moskva14 matches
1.57 goals/match ▲Goals scored14/140.5 goals/match
1.5 goals/match ▲Goals allowed14/141.79 goals/match
1.36 xG/match ▲Expected goals14/140.81 xG/match
13 shots/match ▲Shots14/148.93 shots/match
5.36 shots/match ▲Shots on target14/142.93 shots/match
43.4%Possession14/14● 43.7%
3.86 corners/match ●Corners14/143.64 corners/match
11.1 fouls/matchFouls14/1411.9 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples14 / 14home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 23 Oct 2022, 20:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsAkhmat GroznyTorpedo Moskva
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2022/23
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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