PitchMath
Premier League · 2022

Fakel Voronezh 1–1 FC Rostov · Premier League

1–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Fakel Voronezh and FC Rostov drew 1–1.

Shots
1617
Shots on target
56
Expected goals
2.621.17
Possession
48%52%

Full time

What the match recorded

Fakel Voronezh and FC Rostov drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Fakel Voronezh – FC Rostov): shots 16–17, shots on target 5–6, expected goals 2.62–1.17, possession 48%–52%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Fakel Voronezh's recent record differs from the season

weak

Fakel Voronezh's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.21 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match1.21 goals/match1.65 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

FC Rostov have recorded the higher season possession share.

40.6%PossessionFakel Voronezh · FC Rostov● 52.4%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 11.9 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricFakel VoronezhFC RostovBaseline
Possession40.6%52.4%49.7%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots16 shots17 shotsFakel Voronezh 16 shots, FC Rostov 17 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots6 shotsFakel Voronezh 5 shots, FC Rostov 6 shots
  • Expected goals2.62 xG1.17 xGFakel Voronezh 2.62 xG, FC Rostov 1.17 xG
  • Possession48%52%Fakel Voronezh 48%, FC Rostov 52%
  • Corners7 corners4 cornersFakel Voronezh 7 corners, FC Rostov 4 corners
  • Fouls14 fouls12 foulsFakel Voronezh 14 fouls, FC Rostov 12 fouls

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Fakel Voronezh favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · FC Rostov in 7 · 4 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Fakel Voronezh14 matchesFC Rostov14 matches
1.21 goals/matchGoals scored14/14▲ 1.79 goals/match
1.71 goals/matchGoals allowed14/14▲ 1.43 goals/match
1.28 xG/matchExpected goals14/14▲ 1.69 xG/match
11.9 shots/matchShots14/14▲ 13.4 shots/match
4.93 shots/matchShots on target14/144.93 shots/match
40.6%Possession14/14● 52.4%
4.14 corners/matchCorners14/14● 5.14 corners/match
12.2 fouls/matchFouls14/149.14 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples14 / 14home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 22 Oct 2022, 17:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsFakel VoronezhFC Rostov
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2022/23
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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