PitchMath
Premier League · 2022

Lokomotiv Moscow 1–3 Dynamo Moscow · Premier League

1–3Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Dynamo Moscow won 1–3.

Shots
323
Shots on target
211
Expected goals
0.33.55
Possession
45%55%

Full time

What the match recorded

Dynamo Moscow beat Lokomotiv Moscow 3–1. Recorded in this match (Lokomotiv Moscow – Dynamo Moscow): shots 3–23, shots on target 2–11, expected goals 0.3–3.55, possession 45%–55%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Lokomotiv Moscow's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Lokomotiv Moscow's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.21 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.21 goals/match1.65 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Lokomotiv Moscow have a visible home split

moderate

Lokomotiv Moscow's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

15.9 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season12.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots15.9 shots/match12.6 shots/match13.4 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots3 shots23 shotsLokomotiv Moscow 3 shots, Dynamo Moscow 23 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots11 shotsLokomotiv Moscow 2 shots, Dynamo Moscow 11 shots
  • Expected goals0.3 xG3.55 xGLokomotiv Moscow 0.3 xG, Dynamo Moscow 3.55 xG
  • Possession45%55%Lokomotiv Moscow 45%, Dynamo Moscow 55%
  • Corners2 corners9 cornersLokomotiv Moscow 2 corners, Dynamo Moscow 9 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls12 foulsLokomotiv Moscow 13 fouls, Dynamo Moscow 12 fouls

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Lokomotiv Moscow favored in 2 of 11 directional metrics · Dynamo Moscow in 7 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Lokomotiv Moscow14 matchesDynamo Moscow14 matches
1.21 goals/matchGoals scored14/14▲ 1.71 goals/match
2.07 goals/matchGoals allowed14/14▲ 1.21 goals/match
1.53 xG/matchExpected goals14/8▲ 1.98 xG/match
12.6 shots/matchShots14/1412.1 shots/match
4.86 shots/match ▲Shots on target14/144.07 shots/match
50.9% ●Possession14/1445.4%
4.43 corners/matchCorners14/14● 4.57 corners/match
11.8 fouls/matchFouls14/1411.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples14 / 14home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 22 Oct 2022, 20:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsLokomotiv MoscowDynamo Moscow
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2022/23
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Turn this match into a graphicReady-made from PitchMath data · No sign-up required