Premier League · 2022

Akhmat Grozny 1–0 FC Sochi · Premier League

1–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Akhmat Grozny won 1–0.

Shots
175
Shots on target
62
Expected goals
1.650.4
Possession
45%55%

Full time

What the match recorded

Akhmat Grozny beat FC Sochi 1–0. Recorded in this match (Akhmat Grozny – FC Sochi): shots 17–5, shots on target 6–2, expected goals 1.65–0.4, possession 45%–55%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

FC Sochi's recent record differs from the season

moderate

FC Sochi's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.33 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match1.33 goals/match1.5 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

FC Sochi have a visible away split

moderate

FC Sochi's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

9.33 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season12.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots9.33 shots/match12.1 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

FC Sochi have recorded the higher season possession share.

44.1%PossessionAkhmat Grozny · FC Sochi● 52.5%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 8.4 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricAkhmat GroznyFC SochiBaseline
Possession44.1%52.5%49.6%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots17 shots5 shotsAkhmat Grozny 17 shots, FC Sochi 5 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots2 shotsAkhmat Grozny 6 shots, FC Sochi 2 shots
  • Expected goals1.65 xG0.4 xGAkhmat Grozny 1.65 xG, FC Sochi 0.4 xG
  • Possession45%55%Akhmat Grozny 45%, FC Sochi 55%
  • Corners10 corners1 cornerAkhmat Grozny 10 corners, FC Sochi 1 corner
  • Fouls8 fouls14 foulsAkhmat Grozny 8 fouls, FC Sochi 14 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Akhmat Grozny
0Draws
1FC Sochi
FC Sochi — Akhmat Grozny · Premier League2–1

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Akhmat Grozny favored in 7 of 11 directional metrics · FC Sochi in 3 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Akhmat Grozny24 matchesFC Sochi24 matches
1.46 goals/match ▲Goals scored24/241.33 goals/match
1.25 goals/match ▲Goals allowed24/241.83 goals/match
1.45 xG/matchExpected goals24/16▲ 1.68 xG/match
13.4 shots/match ▲Shots24/2412.1 shots/match
4.83 shots/match ▲Shots on target24/244.29 shots/match
44.1%Possession24/24● 52.5%
4.75 corners/matchCorners24/24● 5.04 corners/match
12 fouls/matchFouls24/2410.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples24 / 24home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 23 Apr 2023, 17:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

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