PitchMath
Premier League · 2022

Nizhny Novgorod 2–1 Krylya Sovetov Samara · Premier League

2–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Nizhny Novgorod won 2–1.

Shots
413
Shots on target
24
Expected goals
0.871.64
Possession
32%68%

Full time

What the match recorded

Pari Nizhny Novgorod beat Krylya Sovetov Samara 2–1. Recorded in this match (Pari Nizhny Novgorod – Krylya Sovetov Samara): shots 4–13, shots on target 2–4, expected goals 0.87–1.64, possession 32%–68%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Pari Nizhny Novgorod's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Pari Nizhny Novgorod's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.13 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.13 goals/match1.51 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Pari Nizhny Novgorod show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Pari Nizhny Novgorod's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

10.2 shots/match ▲ShotsPari Nizhny Novgorod · Krylya Sovetov Samara15.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricPari Nizhny NovgorodKrylya Sovetov SamaraBaseline
Shots10.2 shots/match15.5 shots/match12.8 shots/match
Shots against14.6 shots/match11.5 shots/match14.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Krylya Sovetov Samara have a visible away split

moderate

Krylya Sovetov Samara's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

12.8 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season15.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots12.8 shots/match15.5 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots4 shots13 shotsNizhny Novgorod 4 shots, Krylya Sovetov Samara 13 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots4 shotsNizhny Novgorod 2 shots, Krylya Sovetov Samara 4 shots
  • Expected goals0.87 xG1.64 xGNizhny Novgorod 0.87 xG, Krylya Sovetov Samara 1.64 xG
  • Possession32%68%Nizhny Novgorod 32%, Krylya Sovetov Samara 68%
  • Corners0 corners10 cornersNizhny Novgorod 0 corners, Krylya Sovetov Samara 10 corners
  • Fouls17 fouls9 foulsNizhny Novgorod 17 fouls, Krylya Sovetov Samara 9 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Nizhny Novgorod
0Draws
1Krylya Sovetov Samara
Krylya Sovetov Samara — Nizhny Novgorod · Premier League2–1

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Nizhny Novgorod favored in 2 of 11 directional metrics · Krylya Sovetov Samara in 9

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Nizhny Novgorod24 matchesKrylya Sovetov Samara24 matches
1.13 goals/match ▲Goals scored24/241 goal/match
2 goals/matchGoals allowed24/24▲ 1.46 goals/match
1.18 xG/matchExpected goals23/22▲ 1.8 xG/match
10.2 shots/matchShots23/24▲ 15.5 shots/match
3.26 shots/matchShots on target23/24▲ 5.54 shots/match
42.7%Possession23/24● 49.5%
3.65 corners/matchCorners23/24● 5.54 corners/match
12.2 fouls/matchFouls23/248.13 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples24 / 24home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 23 Apr 2023, 15:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsNizhny NovgorodKrylya Sovetov Samara
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2022/23
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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