PitchMath
Premier League · 2022

Akhmat Grozny 1–3 CSKA Moscow · Premier League

1–3Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

CSKA Moscow won 1–3.

Shots
1511
Shots on target
35
Expected goals
1.31.73
Possession
56%44%

Full time

What the match recorded

CSKA Moscow beat Akhmat Grozny 3–1. Recorded in this match (Akhmat Grozny – CSKA Moscow): shots 15–11, shots on target 3–5, expected goals 1.3–1.73, possession 56%–44%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Akhmat Grozny's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Akhmat Grozny's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.44 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match1.44 goals/match1.49 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

CSKA Moscow have a visible away split

moderate

CSKA Moscow's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

12.9 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season15.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots12.9 shots/match15.2 shots/match12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots15 shots11 shotsAkhmat Grozny 15 shots, CSKA Moscow 11 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots5 shotsAkhmat Grozny 3 shots, CSKA Moscow 5 shots
  • Expected goals1.3 xG1.73 xGAkhmat Grozny 1.3 xG, CSKA Moscow 1.73 xG
  • Possession56%44%Akhmat Grozny 56%, CSKA Moscow 44%
  • Corners2 corners2 cornersAkhmat Grozny 2 corners, CSKA Moscow 2 corners
  • Fouls14 fouls9 foulsAkhmat Grozny 14 fouls, CSKA Moscow 9 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Akhmat Grozny
0Draws
1CSKA Moscow
CSKA Moscow — Akhmat Grozny · Premier League4–2

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Akhmat Grozny favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · CSKA Moscow in 10 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Akhmat Grozny25 matchesCSKA Moscow25 matches
1.44 goals/matchGoals scored25/25▲ 1.84 goals/match
1.32 goals/matchGoals allowed25/25▲ 0.92 goals/match
1.44 xG/matchExpected goals25/24▲ 1.92 xG/match
13.4 shots/matchShots25/25▲ 15.2 shots/match
4.76 shots/matchShots on target25/25▲ 5.4 shots/match
44.6%Possession25/25● 49.6%
4.64 corners/matchCorners25/25● 5.28 corners/match
12 fouls/matchFouls25/2511 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples25 / 25home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 29 Apr 2023, 17:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsAkhmat GroznyCSKA Moscow
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2022/23
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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