PitchMath
Premier League · 2023

Lokomotiv Moscow 1–0 Nizhny Novgorod · Premier League

1–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Lokomotiv Moscow won 1–0.

Shots
1213
Shots on target
13
Expected goals
0.950.65
Possession
60%40%

Full time

What the match recorded

Lokomotiv Moscow beat Pari Nizhny Novgorod 1–0. Recorded in this match (Lokomotiv Moscow – Pari Nizhny Novgorod): shots 12–13, shots on target 1–3, expected goals 0.95–0.65, possession 60%–40%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Pari Nizhny Novgorod's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Pari Nizhny Novgorod's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.9 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match0.9 goals/match1.4 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Lokomotiv Moscow have recorded the higher season possession share.

49.8% ●PossessionLokomotiv Moscow · Pari Nizhny Novgorod39.6%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 10.2 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricLokomotiv MoscowPari Nizhny NovgorodBaseline
Possession49.8%39.6%49.2%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots12 shots13 shotsLokomotiv Moscow 12 shots, Nizhny Novgorod 13 shots
  • Shots on target1 shot3 shotsLokomotiv Moscow 1 shot, Nizhny Novgorod 3 shots
  • Expected goals0.95 xG0.65 xGLokomotiv Moscow 0.95 xG, Nizhny Novgorod 0.65 xG
  • Possession60%40%Lokomotiv Moscow 60%, Nizhny Novgorod 40%
  • Corners6 corners1 cornerLokomotiv Moscow 6 corners, Nizhny Novgorod 1 corner
  • Fouls9 fouls12 foulsLokomotiv Moscow 9 fouls, Nizhny Novgorod 12 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Lokomotiv Moscow
1Draws
0Nizhny Novgorod
Nizhny Novgorod — Lokomotiv Moscow · Premier League0–4
Lokomotiv Moscow — Nizhny Novgorod · Premier League1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Lokomotiv Moscow favored in 4 of 11 directional metrics · Nizhny Novgorod in 5 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Lokomotiv Moscow10 matchesNizhny Novgorod10 matches
1.6 goals/match ▲Goals scored10/100.9 goals/match
1.4 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲ 0.9 goals/match
1.36 xG/matchExpected goals10/101.33 xG/match
11.3 shots/matchShots10/1010.9 shots/match
3.9 shots/match ▲Shots on target10/103.6 shots/match
49.8% ●Possession10/1039.6%
5.5 corners/match ●Corners10/102.7 corners/match
12.7 fouls/matchFouls10/1012.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples10 / 10home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 30 Sept 2023, 15:15 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsLokomotiv MoscowNizhny Novgorod
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2023/24
Head-to-headLokomotiv Moscow — Nizhny Novgorod
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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