PitchMath
Premier League · 2023

Nizhny Novgorod 3–1 Orenburg · Premier League

3–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Nizhny Novgorod won 3–1.

Shots
198
Shots on target
113
Expected goals
2.260.86
Possession
46%54%

Full time

What the match recorded

Pari Nizhny Novgorod beat Orenburg 3–1. Recorded in this match (Pari Nizhny Novgorod – Orenburg): shots 19–8, shots on target 11–3, expected goals 2.26–0.86, possession 46%–54%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Pari Nizhny Novgorod's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Pari Nizhny Novgorod's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1 goal/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match1 goal/match1.24 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Orenburg have recorded the higher season possession share.

39.6%PossessionPari Nizhny Novgorod · Orenburg● 57.8%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 18.2 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricPari Nizhny NovgorodOrenburgBaseline
Possession39.6%57.8%48.7%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots19 shots8 shotsNizhny Novgorod 19 shots, Orenburg 8 shots
  • Shots on target11 shots3 shotsNizhny Novgorod 11 shots, Orenburg 3 shots
  • Expected goals2.26 xG0.86 xGNizhny Novgorod 2.26 xG, Orenburg 0.86 xG
  • Possession46%54%Nizhny Novgorod 46%, Orenburg 54%
  • Corners6 corners4 cornersNizhny Novgorod 6 corners, Orenburg 4 corners
  • Fouls18 fouls4 foulsNizhny Novgorod 18 fouls, Orenburg 4 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Nizhny Novgorod
0Draws
2Orenburg
Orenburg — Nizhny Novgorod · Premier League1–0
Nizhny Novgorod — Orenburg · Premier League0–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Nizhny Novgorod favored in 5 of 11 directional metrics · Orenburg in 5 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Nizhny Novgorod9 matchesOrenburg9 matches
1 goal/matchGoals scored9/9▲ 1.11 goals/match
0.89 goals/match ▲Goals allowed9/91.78 goals/match
1.41 xG/matchExpected goals9/91.4 xG/match
10.7 shots/matchShots9/9▲ 12.2 shots/match
3.67 shots/matchShots on target9/9▲ 3.89 shots/match
39.6%Possession9/9● 57.8%
2.89 corners/matchCorners9/9● 5.33 corners/match
12.6 fouls/matchFouls9/99.56 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples9 / 9home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 24 Sept 2023, 15:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsNizhny NovgorodOrenburg
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2023/24
Head-to-headNizhny Novgorod — Orenburg
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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