PitchMath
Premier League · 2023

Zenit St. Petersburg 1–2 Lokomotiv Moscow · Premier League

1–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Lokomotiv Moscow won 1–2.

Shots
1512
Shots on target
24
Expected goals
1.541.35
Possession
58%42%

Full time

What the match recorded

Lokomotiv Moscow beat Zenit St. Petersburg 2–1. Recorded in this match (Zenit St. Petersburg – Lokomotiv Moscow): shots 15–12, shots on target 2–4, expected goals 1.54–1.35, possession 58%–42%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Lokomotiv Moscow show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Lokomotiv Moscow's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

11.4 shots/match ▲ShotsZenit St. Petersburg · Lokomotiv Moscow11.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricZenit St. PetersburgLokomotiv MoscowBaseline
Shots11.4 shots/match11.2 shots/match12.1 shots/match
Shots against8.44 shots/match14.7 shots/match12.7 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Zenit St. Petersburg have a visible home split

weak

Zenit St. Petersburg's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

13.8 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season11.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots13.8 shots/match11.4 shots/match12.1 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Lokomotiv Moscow's recent record differs from the season

weak

Lokomotiv Moscow's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.67 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match1.67 goals/match1.33 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots15 shots12 shotsZenit St. Petersburg 15 shots, Lokomotiv Moscow 12 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots4 shotsZenit St. Petersburg 2 shots, Lokomotiv Moscow 4 shots
  • Expected goals1.54 xG1.35 xGZenit St. Petersburg 1.54 xG, Lokomotiv Moscow 1.35 xG
  • Possession58%42%Zenit St. Petersburg 58%, Lokomotiv Moscow 42%
  • Corners3 corners5 cornersZenit St. Petersburg 3 corners, Lokomotiv Moscow 5 corners
  • Fouls6 fouls13 foulsZenit St. Petersburg 6 fouls, Lokomotiv Moscow 13 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Zenit St. Petersburg
0Draws
0Lokomotiv Moscow
Lokomotiv Moscow — Zenit St. Petersburg · Premier League1–2
Zenit St. Petersburg — Lokomotiv Moscow · Premier League5–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Zenit St. Petersburg favored in 8 of 11 directional metrics · Lokomotiv Moscow in 2 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Zenit St. Petersburg9 matchesLokomotiv Moscow9 matches
2.11 goals/match ▲Goals scored9/91.67 goals/match
0.89 goals/match ▲Goals allowed9/91.56 goals/match
1.24 xG/matchExpected goals9/9▲ 1.4 xG/match
11.4 shots/matchShots9/911.2 shots/match
3.78 shots/matchShots on target9/9▲ 4.22 shots/match
63.2% ●Possession9/948.7%
6.67 corners/match ●Corners9/95.44 corners/match
8.56 fouls/matchFouls9/913.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples9 / 9home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 24 Sept 2023, 17:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsZenit St. PetersburgLokomotiv Moscow
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2023/24
Head-to-headZenit St. Petersburg — Lokomotiv Moscow
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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