PitchMath
Premier League · 2023

Rubin Kazan 0–2 FK Krasnodar · Premier League

0–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

FK Krasnodar won 0–2.

Shots
1515
Shots on target
34
Expected goals
0.591.92
Possession
48%52%

Full time

What the match recorded

FK Krasnodar beat Rubin Kazan 2–0. Recorded in this match (Rubin Kazan – FK Krasnodar): shots 15–15, shots on target 3–4, expected goals 0.59–1.92, possession 48%–52%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Rubin Kazan's recent record differs from the season

weak

Rubin Kazan's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1 goal/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1 goal/match1.4 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

FK Krasnodar have recorded the higher season possession share.

47.2%PossessionRubin Kazan · FK Krasnodar● 56%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 8.8 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricRubin KazanFK KrasnodarBaseline
Possession47.2%56%49.3%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots15 shots15 shotsRubin Kazan 15 shots, FK Krasnodar 15 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots4 shotsRubin Kazan 3 shots, FK Krasnodar 4 shots
  • Expected goals0.59 xG1.92 xGRubin Kazan 0.59 xG, FK Krasnodar 1.92 xG
  • Possession48%52%Rubin Kazan 48%, FK Krasnodar 52%
  • Corners3 corners4 cornersRubin Kazan 3 corners, FK Krasnodar 4 corners
  • Fouls20 fouls14 foulsRubin Kazan 20 fouls, FK Krasnodar 14 fouls

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Rubin Kazan favored in 1 of 11 directional metrics · FK Krasnodar in 8 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Rubin Kazan10 matchesFK Krasnodar10 matches
1 goal/matchGoals scored10/10▲ 1.6 goals/match
2 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲ 0.3 goals/match
1.59 xG/matchExpected goals10/10▲ 1.98 xG/match
13.7 shots/match ▲Shots10/1012.5 shots/match
4.3 shots/matchShots on target10/104.1 shots/match
47.2%Possession10/10● 56%
4.3 corners/matchCorners10/10● 6.2 corners/match
14.1 fouls/matchFouls10/1010.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples10 / 10home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 30 Sept 2023, 17:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsRubin KazanFK Krasnodar
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2023/24
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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