PitchMath
Premier League · 2023

Fakel Voronezh 0–1 Rubin Kazan · Premier League

0–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Rubin Kazan won 0–1.

Shots
1013
Shots on target
25
Expected goals
0.912.87
Possession
52%48%

Full time

What the match recorded

Rubin Kazan beat Fakel Voronezh 1–0. Recorded in this match (Fakel Voronezh – Rubin Kazan): shots 10–13, shots on target 2–5, expected goals 0.91–2.87, possession 52%–48%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Fakel Voronezh's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Fakel Voronezh's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.56 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.4 goals/match0.56 goals/match1.33 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Rubin Kazan have a visible away split

weak

Rubin Kazan's away-only shot average is above their full-season average.

16.5 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season13.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots16.5 shots/match13.6 shots/match12.1 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots10 shots13 shotsFakel Voronezh 10 shots, Rubin Kazan 13 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots5 shotsFakel Voronezh 2 shots, Rubin Kazan 5 shots
  • Expected goals0.91 xG2.87 xGFakel Voronezh 0.91 xG, Rubin Kazan 2.87 xG
  • Possession52%48%Fakel Voronezh 52%, Rubin Kazan 48%
  • Corners7 corners4 cornersFakel Voronezh 7 corners, Rubin Kazan 4 corners
  • Fouls14 fouls17 foulsFakel Voronezh 14 fouls, Rubin Kazan 17 fouls

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Fakel Voronezh favored in 4 of 11 directional metrics · Rubin Kazan in 7

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Fakel Voronezh9 matchesRubin Kazan9 matches
0.56 goals/matchGoals scored9/9▲ 1.11 goals/match
1.56 goals/match ▲Goals allowed9/92 goals/match
1.14 xG/matchExpected goals9/9▲ 1.7 xG/match
10.8 shots/matchShots9/9▲ 13.6 shots/match
3.22 shots/matchShots on target9/9▲ 4.44 shots/match
44.9%Possession9/9● 47.1%
5.22 corners/match ●Corners9/94.44 corners/match
12.4 fouls/matchFouls9/913.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples9 / 9home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 25 Sept 2023, 20:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsFakel VoronezhRubin Kazan
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2023/24
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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