PitchMath
Premier League · 2023

Krylya Sovetov Samara 3–3 Lokomotiv Moscow · Premier League

3–3Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Krylya Sovetov Samara and Lokomotiv Moscow drew 3–3.

Shots
1614
Shots on target
104
Expected goals
1.851.7
Possession
58%42%

Full time

What the match recorded

Krylya Sovetov Samara and Lokomotiv Moscow drew 3–3. Recorded in this match (Krylya Sovetov Samara – Lokomotiv Moscow): shots 16–14, shots on target 10–4, expected goals 1.85–1.7, possession 58%–42%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Lokomotiv Moscow's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Lokomotiv Moscow's last-five shots average is above their season average.

17 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season13.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots17 shots/match13.4 shots/match13 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots16 shots14 shotsKrylya Sovetov Samara 16 shots, Lokomotiv Moscow 14 shots
  • Shots on target10 shots4 shotsKrylya Sovetov Samara 10 shots, Lokomotiv Moscow 4 shots
  • Expected goals1.85 xG1.7 xGKrylya Sovetov Samara 1.85 xG, Lokomotiv Moscow 1.7 xG
  • Possession58%42%Krylya Sovetov Samara 58%, Lokomotiv Moscow 42%
  • Corners4 corners3 cornersKrylya Sovetov Samara 4 corners, Lokomotiv Moscow 3 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls12 foulsKrylya Sovetov Samara 11 fouls, Lokomotiv Moscow 12 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Krylya Sovetov Samara
3Draws
0Lokomotiv Moscow
Lokomotiv Moscow — Krylya Sovetov Samara · Premier League1–1
Krylya Sovetov Samara — Lokomotiv Moscow · Premier League1–1
Lokomotiv Moscow — Krylya Sovetov Samara · Premier League1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Krylya Sovetov Samara favored in 8 of 11 directional metrics · Lokomotiv Moscow in 3

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Krylya Sovetov Samara16 matchesLokomotiv Moscow16 matches
2.13 goals/match ▲Goals scored16/161.5 goals/match
1.5 goals/matchGoals allowed16/16▲ 1.38 goals/match
1.83 xG/match ▲Expected goals16/161.63 xG/match
11.9 shots/matchShots16/16▲ 13.4 shots/match
5.38 shots/match ▲Shots on target16/164.5 shots/match
47.9%Possession16/16● 50.8%
4.75 corners/matchCorners16/16● 5.88 corners/match
10.1 fouls/matchFouls16/1613.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples16 / 16home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 25 Nov 2023, 14:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsKrylya Sovetov SamaraLokomotiv Moscow
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2023/24
Head-to-headKrylya Sovetov Samara — Lokomotiv Moscow
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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