PitchMath
Premier League · 2023

Lokomotiv Moscow 3–1 Zenit St. Petersburg · Premier League

3–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Lokomotiv Moscow won 3–1.

Shots
99
Shots on target
33
Expected goals
0.491.22
Possession
37%63%

Full time

What the match recorded

Lokomotiv Moscow beat Zenit St. Petersburg 3–1. Recorded in this match (Lokomotiv Moscow – Zenit St. Petersburg): shots 9–9, shots on target 3–3, expected goals 0.49–1.22, possession 37%–63%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Lokomotiv Moscow show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Lokomotiv Moscow's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

13.1 shots/match ▲ShotsLokomotiv Moscow · Zenit St. Petersburg13.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricLokomotiv MoscowZenit St. PetersburgBaseline
Shots13.1 shots/match13.3 shots/match12.9 shots/match
Shots against14.3 shots/match8.47 shots/match12.6 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Zenit St. Petersburg have recorded the higher season possession share.

49.9%PossessionLokomotiv Moscow · Zenit St. Petersburg● 63.1%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 13.2 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricLokomotiv MoscowZenit St. PetersburgBaseline
Possession49.9%63.1%49.2%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Both teams have elevated corners records

weak

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

5.71 corners/matchCornersLokomotiv Moscow · Zenit St. Petersburg● 6.29 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricLokomotiv MoscowZenit St. PetersburgBaseline
Corners5.71 corners/match6.29 corners/match5.09 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots9 shots9 shotsLokomotiv Moscow 9 shots, Zenit St. Petersburg 9 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots3 shotsLokomotiv Moscow 3 shots, Zenit St. Petersburg 3 shots
  • Expected goals0.49 xG1.22 xGLokomotiv Moscow 0.49 xG, Zenit St. Petersburg 1.22 xG
  • Possession37%63%Lokomotiv Moscow 37%, Zenit St. Petersburg 63%
  • Corners3 corners7 cornersLokomotiv Moscow 3 corners, Zenit St. Petersburg 7 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls14 foulsLokomotiv Moscow 12 fouls, Zenit St. Petersburg 14 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Lokomotiv Moscow
0Draws
2Zenit St. Petersburg
Zenit St. Petersburg — Lokomotiv Moscow · Premier League1–2
Lokomotiv Moscow — Zenit St. Petersburg · Premier League1–2
Zenit St. Petersburg — Lokomotiv Moscow · Premier League5–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Lokomotiv Moscow favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Zenit St. Petersburg in 8 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Lokomotiv Moscow17 matchesZenit St. Petersburg17 matches
1.59 goals/matchGoals scored17/17▲ 2 goals/match
1.35 goals/matchGoals allowed17/17▲ 1 goal/match
1.56 xG/matchExpected goals17/171.64 xG/match
13.1 shots/matchShots17/1713.3 shots/match
4.41 shots/matchShots on target17/174.53 shots/match
49.9%Possession17/17● 63.1%
5.71 corners/matchCorners17/17● 6.29 corners/match
13.1 fouls/matchFouls17/179.24 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples17 / 17home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 3 Dec 2023, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsLokomotiv MoscowZenit St. Petersburg
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2023/24
Head-to-headLokomotiv Moscow — Zenit St. Petersburg
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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