PitchMath
Premier League · 2023

Zenit St. Petersburg 1–0 Nizhny Novgorod · Premier League

1–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Zenit St. Petersburg won 1–0.

Shots
128
Shots on target
81
Expected goals
1.60.4
Possession
62%38%

Full time

What the match recorded

Zenit St. Petersburg beat Pari Nizhny Novgorod 1–0. Recorded in this match (Zenit St. Petersburg – Pari Nizhny Novgorod): shots 12–8, shots on target 8–1, expected goals 1.6–0.4, possession 62%–38%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Pari Nizhny Novgorod show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

Pari Nizhny Novgorod's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

13.2 shots/match ▲ShotsZenit St. Petersburg · Pari Nizhny Novgorod9.33 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricZenit St. PetersburgPari Nizhny NovgorodBaseline
Shots13.2 shots/match9.33 shots/match12.7 shots/match
Shots against8.44 shots/match12.2 shots/match12.6 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Pari Nizhny Novgorod's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Pari Nizhny Novgorod's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.83 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match0.83 goals/match1.2 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Zenit St. Petersburg have recorded the higher season possession share.

63.1% ●PossessionZenit St. Petersburg · Pari Nizhny Novgorod39.1%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 24.0 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricZenit St. PetersburgPari Nizhny NovgorodBaseline
Possession63.1%39.1%49.3%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots12 shots8 shotsZenit St. Petersburg 12 shots, Nizhny Novgorod 8 shots
  • Shots on target8 shots1 shotZenit St. Petersburg 8 shots, Nizhny Novgorod 1 shot
  • Expected goals1.6 xG0.4 xGZenit St. Petersburg 1.6 xG, Nizhny Novgorod 0.4 xG
  • Possession62%38%Zenit St. Petersburg 62%, Nizhny Novgorod 38%
  • Corners7 corners3 cornersZenit St. Petersburg 7 corners, Nizhny Novgorod 3 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls12 foulsZenit St. Petersburg 10 fouls, Nizhny Novgorod 12 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Zenit St. Petersburg
0Draws
0Nizhny Novgorod
Nizhny Novgorod — Zenit St. Petersburg · Premier League0–2
Zenit St. Petersburg — Nizhny Novgorod · Premier League3–0
Nizhny Novgorod — Zenit St. Petersburg · Premier League0–3

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Zenit St. Petersburg favored in 10 of 11 directional metrics · Nizhny Novgorod in 1

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Zenit St. Petersburg18 matchesNizhny Novgorod18 matches
1.94 goals/match ▲Goals scored18/180.83 goals/match
0.94 goals/matchGoals allowed18/18▲ 0.89 goals/match
1.64 xG/match ▲Expected goals18/180.98 xG/match
13.2 shots/match ▲Shots18/189.33 shots/match
4.72 shots/match ▲Shots on target18/182.78 shots/match
63.1% ●Possession18/1839.1%
6.33 corners/match ●Corners18/182.33 corners/match
9.28 fouls/matchFouls18/1813.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples18 / 18home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 9 Dec 2023, 20:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsZenit St. PetersburgNizhny Novgorod
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2023/24
Head-to-headZenit St. Petersburg — Nizhny Novgorod
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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