PitchMath
Premier League · 2023

Nizhny Novgorod 1–0 Ural Yekaterinburg · Premier League

1–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Nizhny Novgorod won 1–0.

Shots
710
Shots on target
24
Expected goals
0.391.02
Possession
49%51%

Full time

What the match recorded

Pari Nizhny Novgorod beat Ural Yekaterinburg 1–0. Recorded in this match (Pari Nizhny Novgorod – Ural Yekaterinburg): shots 7–10, shots on target 2–4, expected goals 0.39–1.02, possession 49%–51%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Pari Nizhny Novgorod's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Pari Nizhny Novgorod's last-five shots average is below their season average.

6.6 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season9.41 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots6.6 shots/match9.41 shots/match12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Ural Yekaterinburg have a visible away split

moderate

Ural Yekaterinburg's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

10.4 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season13.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots10.4 shots/match13.1 shots/match12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Pari Nizhny Novgorod show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Pari Nizhny Novgorod's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

9.41 shots/match ▲ShotsPari Nizhny Novgorod · Ural Yekaterinburg13.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricPari Nizhny NovgorodUral YekaterinburgBaseline
Shots9.41 shots/match13.1 shots/match12.9 shots/match
Shots against12.2 shots/match11.4 shots/match12.7 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots7 shots10 shotsNizhny Novgorod 7 shots, Ural Yekaterinburg 10 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots4 shotsNizhny Novgorod 2 shots, Ural Yekaterinburg 4 shots
  • Expected goals0.39 xG1.02 xGNizhny Novgorod 0.39 xG, Ural Yekaterinburg 1.02 xG
  • Possession49%51%Nizhny Novgorod 49%, Ural Yekaterinburg 51%
  • Corners1 corner6 cornersNizhny Novgorod 1 corner, Ural Yekaterinburg 6 corners
  • Fouls14 fouls12 foulsNizhny Novgorod 14 fouls, Ural Yekaterinburg 12 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Nizhny Novgorod
2Draws
0Ural Yekaterinburg
Ural Yekaterinburg — Nizhny Novgorod · Premier League0–0
Nizhny Novgorod — Ural Yekaterinburg · Premier League0–0
Ural Yekaterinburg — Nizhny Novgorod · Premier League0–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Nizhny Novgorod favored in 4 of 11 directional metrics · Ural Yekaterinburg in 7

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Nizhny Novgorod17 matchesUral Yekaterinburg17 matches
0.88 goals/matchGoals scored17/17▲ 1.06 goals/match
0.88 goals/match ▲Goals allowed17/171.53 goals/match
1.01 xG/matchExpected goals17/17▲ 1.46 xG/match
9.41 shots/matchShots17/17▲ 13.1 shots/match
2.88 shots/matchShots on target17/17▲ 4.12 shots/match
39.1%Possession17/17● 44.9%
2.29 corners/matchCorners17/17● 5.41 corners/match
13.2 fouls/matchFouls17/1711 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples17 / 17home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 2 Dec 2023, 20:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsNizhny NovgorodUral Yekaterinburg
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2023/24
Head-to-headNizhny Novgorod — Ural Yekaterinburg
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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