PitchMath
Premier League · 2023

FC Rostov 1–0 Nizhny Novgorod · Premier League

1–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

FC Rostov won 1–0.

Shots
106
Shots on target
32
Expected goals
1.080.35
Possession
66%34%

Full time

What the match recorded

FC Rostov beat Pari Nizhny Novgorod 1–0. Recorded in this match (FC Rostov – Pari Nizhny Novgorod): shots 10–6, shots on target 3–2, expected goals 1.08–0.35, possession 66%–34%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Pari Nizhny Novgorod's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Pari Nizhny Novgorod's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.88 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match0.88 goals/match1.28 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

FC Rostov have recorded the higher season possession share.

54.7% ●PossessionFC Rostov · Pari Nizhny Novgorod38.5%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 16.2 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricFC RostovPari Nizhny NovgorodBaseline
Possession54.7%38.5%49.3%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots10 shots6 shotsFC Rostov 10 shots, Nizhny Novgorod 6 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots2 shotsFC Rostov 3 shots, Nizhny Novgorod 2 shots
  • Expected goals1.08 xG0.35 xGFC Rostov 1.08 xG, Nizhny Novgorod 0.35 xG
  • Possession66%34%FC Rostov 66%, Nizhny Novgorod 34%
  • Corners3 corners4 cornersFC Rostov 3 corners, Nizhny Novgorod 4 corners
  • Fouls18 fouls12 foulsFC Rostov 18 fouls, Nizhny Novgorod 12 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2FC Rostov
0Draws
1Nizhny Novgorod
Nizhny Novgorod — FC Rostov · Premier League1–0
FC Rostov — Nizhny Novgorod · Premier League2–1
Nizhny Novgorod — FC Rostov · Premier League3–4

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: FC Rostov favored in 6 of 11 directional metrics · Nizhny Novgorod in 5

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

FC Rostov16 matchesNizhny Novgorod16 matches
1.5 goals/match ▲Goals scored16/160.88 goals/match
1.69 goals/matchGoals allowed16/16▲ 0.94 goals/match
1.74 xG/match ▲Expected goals16/161.05 xG/match
14.5 shots/match ▲Shots16/169.56 shots/match
4.69 shots/match ▲Shots on target16/162.94 shots/match
54.7% ●Possession16/1638.5%
5.69 corners/match ●Corners16/162.38 corners/match
9.94 fouls/matchFouls16/1613.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples16 / 16home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 26 Nov 2023, 20:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsFC RostovNizhny Novgorod
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2023/24
Head-to-headFC Rostov — Nizhny Novgorod
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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