PitchMath
Premier League · 2023

Rubin Kazan 1–0 Fakel Voronezh · Premier League

1–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Rubin Kazan won 1–0.

Shots
126
Shots on target
70
Expected goals
0.940.73
Possession
43%57%

Full time

What the match recorded

Rubin Kazan beat Fakel Voronezh 1–0. Recorded in this match (Rubin Kazan – Fakel Voronezh): shots 12–6, shots on target 7–0, expected goals 0.94–0.73, possession 43%–57%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Fakel Voronezh's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Fakel Voronezh's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.88 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match0.88 goals/match1.28 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots12 shots6 shotsRubin Kazan 12 shots, Fakel Voronezh 6 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots0 shotsRubin Kazan 7 shots, Fakel Voronezh 0 shots
  • Expected goals0.94 xG0.73 xGRubin Kazan 0.94 xG, Fakel Voronezh 0.73 xG
  • Possession43%57%Rubin Kazan 43%, Fakel Voronezh 57%
  • Corners4 corners3 cornersRubin Kazan 4 corners, Fakel Voronezh 3 corners
  • Fouls16 fouls12 foulsRubin Kazan 16 fouls, Fakel Voronezh 12 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Rubin Kazan
0Draws
0Fakel Voronezh
Fakel Voronezh — Rubin Kazan · Premier League0–1

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Rubin Kazan favored in 9 of 11 directional metrics · Fakel Voronezh in 1 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Rubin Kazan16 matchesFakel Voronezh16 matches
1 goal/match ▲Goals scored16/160.88 goals/match
1.25 goals/matchGoals allowed16/16▲ 1.13 goals/match
1.46 xG/match ▲Expected goals16/161.33 xG/match
12.8 shots/match ▲Shots16/1611.4 shots/match
4.31 shots/match ▲Shots on target16/163.56 shots/match
45.7%Possession16/1645.7%
4.81 corners/matchCorners16/16● 5.06 corners/match
13.4 fouls/matchFouls16/1612.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples16 / 16home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 26 Nov 2023, 17:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsRubin KazanFakel Voronezh
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2023/24
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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