PitchMath
Premier League · 2023

Dynamo Moscow 1–0 Rubin Kazan · Premier League

1–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Dynamo Moscow won 1–0.

Shots
1413
Shots on target
63
Expected goals
1.271.14
Possession
53%47%

Full time

What the match recorded

Dynamo Moscow beat Rubin Kazan 1–0. Recorded in this match (Dynamo Moscow – Rubin Kazan): shots 14–13, shots on target 6–3, expected goals 1.27–1.14, possession 53%–47%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Dynamo Moscow's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Dynamo Moscow's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.65 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.2 goals/match1.65 goals/match1.24 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots14 shots13 shotsDynamo Moscow 14 shots, Rubin Kazan 13 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots3 shotsDynamo Moscow 6 shots, Rubin Kazan 3 shots
  • Expected goals1.27 xG1.14 xGDynamo Moscow 1.27 xG, Rubin Kazan 1.14 xG
  • Possession53%47%Dynamo Moscow 53%, Rubin Kazan 47%
  • Corners2 corners5 cornersDynamo Moscow 2 corners, Rubin Kazan 5 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls14 foulsDynamo Moscow 10 fouls, Rubin Kazan 14 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Dynamo Moscow
1Draws
0Rubin Kazan
Rubin Kazan — Dynamo Moscow · Premier League2–2

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Dynamo Moscow favored in 5 of 11 directional metrics · Rubin Kazan in 4 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Dynamo Moscow17 matchesRubin Kazan17 matches
1.65 goals/match ▲Goals scored17/170.94 goals/match
1.24 goals/matchGoals allowed17/171.24 goals/match
1.86 xG/match ▲Expected goals17/171.44 xG/match
16.1 shots/match ▲Shots17/1712.8 shots/match
5.29 shots/match ▲Shots on target17/174.24 shots/match
49.5% ●Possession17/1745.8%
5.76 corners/match ●Corners17/174.82 corners/match
11.3 fouls/matchFouls17/1713.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples17 / 17home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 4 Dec 2023, 20:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsDynamo MoscowRubin Kazan
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2023/24
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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