PitchMath
Premier League · 2023

CSKA Moscow 2–0 FC Rostov · Premier League

2–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

CSKA Moscow won 2–0.

Shots
108
Shots on target
55
Expected goals
1.340.8
Possession
46%54%

Full time

What the match recorded

CSKA Moscow beat FC Rostov 2–0. Recorded in this match (CSKA Moscow – FC Rostov): shots 10–8, shots on target 5–5, expected goals 1.34–0.8, possession 46%–54%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

FC Rostov's recent record differs from the season

moderate

FC Rostov's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.41 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.41 goals/match1.24 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots10 shots8 shotsCSKA Moscow 10 shots, FC Rostov 8 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots5 shotsCSKA Moscow 5 shots, FC Rostov 5 shots
  • Expected goals1.34 xG0.8 xGCSKA Moscow 1.34 xG, FC Rostov 0.8 xG
  • Possession46%54%CSKA Moscow 46%, FC Rostov 54%
  • Corners3 corners5 cornersCSKA Moscow 3 corners, FC Rostov 5 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls12 foulsCSKA Moscow 13 fouls, FC Rostov 12 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1CSKA Moscow
2Draws
0FC Rostov
FC Rostov — CSKA Moscow · Premier League3–3
CSKA Moscow — FC Rostov · Premier League4–1
FC Rostov — CSKA Moscow · Premier League0–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: CSKA Moscow favored in 5 of 11 directional metrics · FC Rostov in 3 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

CSKA Moscow17 matchesFC Rostov17 matches
1.82 goals/match ▲Goals scored17/171.41 goals/match
1.35 goals/match ▲Goals allowed17/171.71 goals/match
1.53 xG/matchExpected goals16/17▲ 1.68 xG/match
11.9 shots/matchShots17/17▲ 14.1 shots/match
4.53 shots/matchShots on target17/174.71 shots/match
49.1%Possession17/17● 54.6%
4 corners/matchCorners17/17● 5.65 corners/match
11.5 fouls/matchFouls17/1710.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples17 / 17home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 3 Dec 2023, 15:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsCSKA MoscowFC Rostov
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2023/24
Head-to-headCSKA Moscow — FC Rostov
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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