PitchMath
Premier League · 2023

FC Sochi 0–2 Krylya Sovetov Samara · Premier League

0–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Krylya Sovetov Samara won 0–2.

Shots
1012
Shots on target
16
Expected goals
1.253.41
Possession
49%51%

Full time

What the match recorded

Krylya Sovetov Samara beat FC Sochi 2–0. Recorded in this match (FC Sochi – Krylya Sovetov Samara): shots 10–12, shots on target 1–6, expected goals 1.25–3.41, possession 49%–51%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

FC Sochi's recent record differs from the season

moderate

FC Sochi's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.94 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match0.94 goals/match1.25 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots10 shots12 shotsFC Sochi 10 shots, Krylya Sovetov Samara 12 shots
  • Shots on target1 shot6 shotsFC Sochi 1 shot, Krylya Sovetov Samara 6 shots
  • Expected goals1.25 xG3.41 xGFC Sochi 1.25 xG, Krylya Sovetov Samara 3.41 xG
  • Possession49%51%FC Sochi 49%, Krylya Sovetov Samara 51%
  • Corners4 corners8 cornersFC Sochi 4 corners, Krylya Sovetov Samara 8 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls1 foulFC Sochi 13 fouls, Krylya Sovetov Samara 1 foul

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0FC Sochi
0Draws
3Krylya Sovetov Samara
Krylya Sovetov Samara — FC Sochi · Premier League2–1
FC Sochi — Krylya Sovetov Samara · Premier League1–2
Krylya Sovetov Samara — FC Sochi · Premier League2–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: FC Sochi favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Krylya Sovetov Samara in 10 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

FC Sochi17 matchesKrylya Sovetov Samara17 matches
0.94 goals/matchGoals scored17/17▲ 2.12 goals/match
1.76 goals/matchGoals allowed17/17▲ 1.41 goals/match
1.35 xG/matchExpected goals16/17▲ 1.93 xG/match
10.8 shots/matchShots16/17▲ 11.9 shots/match
3.69 shots/matchShots on target16/17▲ 5.41 shots/match
50.1% ●Possession16/1748.1%
4.25 corners/matchCorners16/17● 4.94 corners/match
13.7 fouls/matchFouls16/179.53 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples17 / 17home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 2 Dec 2023, 17:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsFC SochiKrylya Sovetov Samara
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2023/24
Head-to-headFC Sochi — Krylya Sovetov Samara
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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