Premier League · 2023

CSKA Moscow 2–3 Dynamo Moscow · Premier League

2–3Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Dynamo Moscow won 2–3.

Shots
2019
Shots on target
66
Expected goals
2.352.11
Possession
55%45%

Full time

What the match recorded

Dynamo Moscow beat CSKA Moscow 3–2. Recorded in this match (CSKA Moscow – Dynamo Moscow): shots 20–19, shots on target 6–6, expected goals 2.35–2.11, possession 55%–45%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

CSKA Moscow's recent record differs from the season

weak

CSKA Moscow's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.81 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match1.81 goals/match1.25 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Dynamo Moscow show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Dynamo Moscow's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

12.1 shots/match ▲ShotsCSKA Moscow · Dynamo Moscow16.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricCSKA MoscowDynamo MoscowBaseline
Shots12.1 shots/match16.2 shots/match13 shots/match
Shots against12.9 shots/match15.3 shots/match12.7 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots20 shots19 shotsCSKA Moscow 20 shots, Dynamo Moscow 19 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots6 shotsCSKA Moscow 6 shots, Dynamo Moscow 6 shots
  • Expected goals2.35 xG2.11 xGCSKA Moscow 2.35 xG, Dynamo Moscow 2.11 xG
  • Possession55%45%CSKA Moscow 55%, Dynamo Moscow 45%
  • Corners2 corners8 cornersCSKA Moscow 2 corners, Dynamo Moscow 8 corners
  • Fouls7 fouls13 foulsCSKA Moscow 7 fouls, Dynamo Moscow 13 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0CSKA Moscow
1Draws
2Dynamo Moscow
Dynamo Moscow — CSKA Moscow · Premier League2–1
Dynamo Moscow — CSKA Moscow · Premier League2–1
CSKA Moscow — Dynamo Moscow · Premier League1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: CSKA Moscow favored in 5 of 11 directional metrics · Dynamo Moscow in 6

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

CSKA Moscow16 matchesDynamo Moscow16 matches
1.81 goals/match ▲Goals scored16/161.69 goals/match
1.44 goals/matchGoals allowed16/16▲ 1.31 goals/match
1.54 xG/matchExpected goals15/16▲ 1.9 xG/match
12.1 shots/matchShots16/16▲ 16.2 shots/match
4.5 shots/matchShots on target16/16▲ 5.25 shots/match
49.3%Possession16/16● 49.3%
4.06 corners/matchCorners16/16● 6 corners/match
11.4 fouls/matchFouls16/1611.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples16 / 16home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 25 Nov 2023, 18:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

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