PitchMath
Premier League · 2023

FC Sochi 1–1 Orenburg · Premier League

1–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

FC Sochi and Orenburg drew 1–1.

Shots
189
Shots on target
21
Expected goals
1.481.1
Possession
41%59%

Full time

What the match recorded

FC Sochi and Orenburg drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (FC Sochi – Orenburg): shots 18–9, shots on target 2–1, expected goals 1.48–1.1, possession 41%–59%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Orenburg's recent record differs from the season

weak

Orenburg's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.06 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.06 goals/match1.19 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots18 shots9 shotsFC Sochi 18 shots, Orenburg 9 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots1 shotFC Sochi 2 shots, Orenburg 1 shot
  • Expected goals1.48 xG1.1 xGFC Sochi 1.48 xG, Orenburg 1.1 xG
  • Possession41%59%FC Sochi 41%, Orenburg 59%
  • Corners5 corners4 cornersFC Sochi 5 corners, Orenburg 4 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls15 foulsFC Sochi 12 fouls, Orenburg 15 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0FC Sochi
0Draws
3Orenburg
Orenburg — FC Sochi · Premier League3–0
FC Sochi — Orenburg · Premier League0–4
Orenburg — FC Sochi · Premier League4–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: FC Sochi favored in 3 of 11 directional metrics · Orenburg in 6 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

FC Sochi18 matchesOrenburg18 matches
0.94 goals/matchGoals scored18/18▲ 1.06 goals/match
1.72 goals/matchGoals allowed18/18▲ 1.56 goals/match
1.36 xG/matchExpected goals17/18▲ 1.54 xG/match
11.2 shots/matchShots17/18▲ 13.7 shots/match
3.59 shots/matchShots on target17/18▲ 4.28 shots/match
49.5%Possession17/18● 56.2%
4.29 corners/matchCorners17/18● 5.61 corners/match
13.6 fouls/matchFouls17/1811.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples18 / 18home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 10 Dec 2023, 17:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsFC SochiOrenburg
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2023/24
Head-to-headFC Sochi — Orenburg
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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