PitchMath
Premier League · 2023

FC Rostov 2–0 Krylya Sovetov Samara · Premier League

2–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

FC Rostov won 2–0.

Shots
146
Shots on target
42
Expected goals
1.480.52
Possession
52%48%

Full time

What the match recorded

FC Rostov beat Krylya Sovetov Samara 2–0. Recorded in this match (FC Rostov – Krylya Sovetov Samara): shots 14–6, shots on target 4–2, expected goals 1.48–0.52, possession 52%–48%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

FC Rostov's recent record differs from the season

moderate

FC Rostov's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.37 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.37 goals/match1.21 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots14 shots6 shotsFC Rostov 14 shots, Krylya Sovetov Samara 6 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots2 shotsFC Rostov 4 shots, Krylya Sovetov Samara 2 shots
  • Expected goals1.48 xG0.52 xGFC Rostov 1.48 xG, Krylya Sovetov Samara 0.52 xG
  • Possession52%48%FC Rostov 52%, Krylya Sovetov Samara 48%
  • Corners2 corners7 cornersFC Rostov 2 corners, Krylya Sovetov Samara 7 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls10 foulsFC Rostov 12 fouls, Krylya Sovetov Samara 10 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2FC Rostov
0Draws
1Krylya Sovetov Samara
Krylya Sovetov Samara — FC Rostov · Premier League5–1
Krylya Sovetov Samara — FC Rostov · Premier League1–3
FC Rostov — Krylya Sovetov Samara · Premier League2–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: FC Rostov favored in 2 of 11 directional metrics · Krylya Sovetov Samara in 6 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

FC Rostov19 matchesKrylya Sovetov Samara19 matches
1.37 goals/matchGoals scored19/19▲ 1.89 goals/match
1.53 goals/matchGoals allowed19/191.53 goals/match
1.63 xG/matchExpected goals19/19▲ 1.8 xG/match
14 shots/match ▲Shots19/1911.5 shots/match
4.47 shots/matchShots on target19/19▲ 5.11 shots/match
54.7% ●Possession19/1948.6%
5.53 corners/match ●Corners19/195.11 corners/match
10.4 fouls/matchFouls19/199.53 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples19 / 19home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 1 Mar 2024, 20:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsFC RostovKrylya Sovetov Samara
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2023/24
Head-to-headFC Rostov — Krylya Sovetov Samara
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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