PitchMath
Premier League · 2023

CSKA Moscow 1–1 Orenburg · Premier League

1–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

CSKA Moscow and Orenburg drew 1–1.

Shots
168
Shots on target
75
Expected goals
1.250.64
Possession
52%48%

Full time

What the match recorded

CSKA Moscow and Orenburg drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (CSKA Moscow – Orenburg): shots 16–8, shots on target 7–5, expected goals 1.25–0.64, possession 52%–48%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

CSKA Moscow's recent record differs from the season

moderate

CSKA Moscow's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.68 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match1.68 goals/match1.21 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots16 shots8 shotsCSKA Moscow 16 shots, Orenburg 8 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots5 shotsCSKA Moscow 7 shots, Orenburg 5 shots
  • Expected goals1.25 xG0.64 xGCSKA Moscow 1.25 xG, Orenburg 0.64 xG
  • Possession52%48%CSKA Moscow 52%, Orenburg 48%
  • Corners2 corners2 cornersCSKA Moscow 2 corners, Orenburg 2 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls14 foulsCSKA Moscow 11 fouls, Orenburg 14 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1CSKA Moscow
2Draws
0Orenburg
Orenburg — CSKA Moscow · Premier League1–1
CSKA Moscow — Orenburg · Premier League2–1
Orenburg — CSKA Moscow · Premier League2–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: CSKA Moscow favored in 8 of 11 directional metrics · Orenburg in 1 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

CSKA Moscow19 matchesOrenburg19 matches
1.68 goals/match ▲Goals scored19/191.05 goals/match
1.32 goals/match ▲Goals allowed19/191.53 goals/match
1.49 xG/matchExpected goals18/191.5 xG/match
12.4 shots/matchShots19/19▲ 13.4 shots/match
4.74 shots/match ▲Shots on target19/194.32 shots/match
49.2%Possession19/19● 55.8%
4.21 corners/matchCorners19/19● 5.42 corners/match
11.4 fouls/matchFouls19/1911.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples19 / 19home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 2 Mar 2024, 15:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsCSKA MoscowOrenburg
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2023/24
Head-to-headCSKA Moscow — Orenburg
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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