PitchMath
Premier League · 2023

FK Krasnodar 1–1 Rubin Kazan · Premier League

1–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

FK Krasnodar and Rubin Kazan drew 1–1.

Shots
1612
Shots on target
66
Expected goals
1.940.89
Possession
57%43%

Full time

What the match recorded

FK Krasnodar and Rubin Kazan drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (FK Krasnodar – Rubin Kazan): shots 16–12, shots on target 6–6, expected goals 1.94–0.89, possession 57%–43%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

FK Krasnodar's recent record differs from the season

weak

FK Krasnodar's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.53 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match1.53 goals/match1.21 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

FK Krasnodar have recorded the higher season possession share.

55.4% ●PossessionFK Krasnodar · Rubin Kazan45.5%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 9.9 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricFK KrasnodarRubin KazanBaseline
Possession55.4%45.5%49.4%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots16 shots12 shotsFK Krasnodar 16 shots, Rubin Kazan 12 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots6 shotsFK Krasnodar 6 shots, Rubin Kazan 6 shots
  • Expected goals1.94 xG0.89 xGFK Krasnodar 1.94 xG, Rubin Kazan 0.89 xG
  • Possession57%43%FK Krasnodar 57%, Rubin Kazan 43%
  • Corners5 corners5 cornersFK Krasnodar 5 corners, Rubin Kazan 5 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls10 foulsFK Krasnodar 13 fouls, Rubin Kazan 10 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1FK Krasnodar
0Draws
0Rubin Kazan
Rubin Kazan — FK Krasnodar · Premier League0–2

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: FK Krasnodar favored in 7 of 11 directional metrics · Rubin Kazan in 0 · 4 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

FK Krasnodar19 matchesRubin Kazan19 matches
1.53 goals/match ▲Goals scored19/190.95 goals/match
0.79 goals/match ▲Goals allowed19/191.16 goals/match
1.83 xG/match ▲Expected goals18/191.38 xG/match
12.3 shots/matchShots19/1912.6 shots/match
4.58 shots/matchShots on target19/194.42 shots/match
55.4% ●Possession19/1945.5%
5.16 corners/match ●Corners19/194.63 corners/match
11.4 fouls/matchFouls19/1913 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples19 / 19home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 2 Mar 2024, 17:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsFK KrasnodarRubin Kazan
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2023/24
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Turn this match into a graphicReady-made from PitchMath data · No sign-up required