PitchMath
Premier League · 2023

FC Rostov 2–1 FK Krasnodar · Premier League

2–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

FC Rostov won 2–1.

Shots
1813
Shots on target
82
Possession
50%50%

Full time

What the match recorded

FC Rostov beat FK Krasnodar 2–1. Recorded in this match (FC Rostov – FK Krasnodar): shots 18–13, shots on target 8–2, possession 50%–50%, corners 1–5. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

FC Rostov's recent record differs from the season

moderate

FC Rostov's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.4 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match1.4 goals/match1.23 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots18 shots13 shotsFC Rostov 18 shots, FK Krasnodar 13 shots
  • Shots on target8 shots2 shotsFC Rostov 8 shots, FK Krasnodar 2 shots
  • Possession50%50%FC Rostov 50%, FK Krasnodar 50%
  • Corners1 corner5 cornersFC Rostov 1 corner, FK Krasnodar 5 corners
  • Fouls18 fouls12 foulsFC Rostov 18 fouls, FK Krasnodar 12 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1FC Rostov
0Draws
2FK Krasnodar
FK Krasnodar — FC Rostov · Premier League3–2
FK Krasnodar — FC Rostov · Premier League3–0
FC Rostov — FK Krasnodar · Premier League3–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: FC Rostov favored in 1 of 11 directional metrics · FK Krasnodar in 8 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

FC Rostov20 matchesFK Krasnodar20 matches
1.4 goals/matchGoals scored20/20▲ 1.5 goals/match
1.5 goals/matchGoals allowed20/20▲ 0.85 goals/match
1.63 xG/matchExpected goals19/18▲ 1.83 xG/match
14.2 shots/match ▲Shots20/2012.4 shots/match
4.65 shots/matchShots on target20/204.45 shots/match
54.5%Possession20/20● 55.2%
5.3 corners/match ●Corners20/205.15 corners/match
10.8 fouls/matchFouls20/2011.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples20 / 20home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 8 Mar 2024, 19:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsFC RostovFK Krasnodar
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2023/24
Head-to-headFC Rostov — FK Krasnodar
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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