PitchMath
Premier League · 2023

Rubin Kazan 2–1 Akhmat Grozny · Premier League

2–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Rubin Kazan won 2–1.

Shots
118
Shots on target
22
Expected goals
1.40.28
Possession
46%54%

Full time

What the match recorded

Rubin Kazan beat Akhmat Grozny 2–1. Recorded in this match (Rubin Kazan – Akhmat Grozny): shots 11–8, shots on target 2–2, expected goals 1.4–0.28, possession 46%–54%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Rubin Kazan's recent record differs from the season

weak

Rubin Kazan's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.95 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match0.95 goals/match1.14 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots11 shots8 shotsRubin Kazan 11 shots, Akhmat Grozny 8 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots2 shotsRubin Kazan 2 shots, Akhmat Grozny 2 shots
  • Expected goals1.4 xG0.28 xGRubin Kazan 1.4 xG, Akhmat Grozny 0.28 xG
  • Possession46%54%Rubin Kazan 46%, Akhmat Grozny 54%
  • Corners2 corners5 cornersRubin Kazan 2 corners, Akhmat Grozny 5 corners
  • Fouls20 fouls10 foulsRubin Kazan 20 fouls, Akhmat Grozny 10 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Rubin Kazan
0Draws
0Akhmat Grozny
Akhmat Grozny — Rubin Kazan · Premier League0–1

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Rubin Kazan favored in 8 of 11 directional metrics · Akhmat Grozny in 2 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Rubin Kazan21 matchesAkhmat Grozny21 matches
0.95 goals/matchGoals scored21/210.95 goals/match
1.14 goals/match ▲Goals allowed21/211.29 goals/match
1.35 xG/matchExpected goals21/21▲ 1.53 xG/match
12.4 shots/matchShots21/21▲ 13.3 shots/match
4.24 shots/match ▲Shots on target21/213.71 shots/match
46.6% ●Possession21/2145.5%
4.57 corners/match ●Corners21/214.38 corners/match
13.3 fouls/matchFouls21/2112.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples21 / 21home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 31 Mar 2024, 17:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsRubin KazanAkhmat Grozny
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2023/24
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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