PitchMath
Premier League · 2023

Ural Yekaterinburg 2–1 Baltika Kaliningrad · Premier League

2–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Ural Yekaterinburg won 2–1.

Shots
1314
Shots on target
44
Expected goals
1.851.19
Possession
56%44%

Full time

What the match recorded

Ural Yekaterinburg beat Baltika Kaliningrad 2–1. Recorded in this match (Ural Yekaterinburg – Baltika Kaliningrad): shots 13–14, shots on target 4–4, expected goals 1.85–1.19, possession 56%–44%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Baltika Kaliningrad's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Baltika Kaliningrad's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

3 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.07 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for3 goals/match1.07 goals/match1.26 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots13 shots14 shotsUral Yekaterinburg 13 shots, Baltika Kaliningrad 14 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots4 shotsUral Yekaterinburg 4 shots, Baltika Kaliningrad 4 shots
  • Expected goals1.85 xG1.19 xGUral Yekaterinburg 1.85 xG, Baltika Kaliningrad 1.19 xG
  • Possession56%44%Ural Yekaterinburg 56%, Baltika Kaliningrad 44%
  • Corners10 corners9 cornersUral Yekaterinburg 10 corners, Baltika Kaliningrad 9 corners
  • Fouls3 fouls19 foulsUral Yekaterinburg 3 fouls, Baltika Kaliningrad 19 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Ural Yekaterinburg
0Draws
0Baltika Kaliningrad
Baltika Kaliningrad — Ural Yekaterinburg · Premier League0–1

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Ural Yekaterinburg favored in 4 of 11 directional metrics · Baltika Kaliningrad in 3 · 4 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Ural Yekaterinburg27 matchesBaltika Kaliningrad27 matches
1 goal/matchGoals scored27/27▲ 1.07 goals/match
1.52 goals/matchGoals allowed27/27▲ 1.26 goals/match
1.37 xG/matchExpected goals23/271.3 xG/match
12 shots/matchShots27/2711.4 shots/match
3.78 shots/matchShots on target27/273.59 shots/match
45.2%Possession27/27● 45.6%
5.67 corners/match ●Corners27/274.74 corners/match
11.8 fouls/matchFouls27/2713.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples27 / 27home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 6 May 2024, 16:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsUral YekaterinburgBaltika Kaliningrad
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2023/24
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Turn this match into a graphicReady-made from PitchMath data · No sign-up required