PitchMath
Premier League · 2023

Fakel Voronezh 1–1 Zenit St. Petersburg · Premier League

1–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Fakel Voronezh and Zenit St. Petersburg drew 1–1.

Shots
711
Shots on target
25
Possession
40%60%

Full time

What the match recorded

Fakel Voronezh and Zenit St. Petersburg drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Fakel Voronezh – Zenit St. Petersburg): shots 7–11, shots on target 2–5, possession 40%–60%, corners 3–5. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Fakel Voronezh's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Fakel Voronezh's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.74 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.2 goals/match0.74 goals/match1.26 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Fakel Voronezh show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

Fakel Voronezh's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

10.1 shots/match ▲ShotsFakel Voronezh · Zenit St. Petersburg13.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricFakel VoronezhZenit St. PetersburgBaseline
Shots10.1 shots/match13.1 shots/match13.1 shots/match
Shots against14 shots/match8.78 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Zenit St. Petersburg have recorded the higher season possession share.

44.6%PossessionFakel Voronezh · Zenit St. Petersburg● 63.4%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 18.7 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricFakel VoronezhZenit St. PetersburgBaseline
Possession44.6%63.4%49.4%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots7 shots11 shotsFakel Voronezh 7 shots, Zenit St. Petersburg 11 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots5 shotsFakel Voronezh 2 shots, Zenit St. Petersburg 5 shots
  • Possession40%60%Fakel Voronezh 40%, Zenit St. Petersburg 60%
  • Corners3 corners5 cornersFakel Voronezh 3 corners, Zenit St. Petersburg 5 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls10 foulsFakel Voronezh 12 fouls, Zenit St. Petersburg 10 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Fakel Voronezh
1Draws
2Zenit St. Petersburg
Zenit St. Petersburg — Fakel Voronezh · Premier League2–0
Zenit St. Petersburg — Fakel Voronezh · Premier League1–0
Fakel Voronezh — Zenit St. Petersburg · Premier League1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Fakel Voronezh favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Zenit St. Petersburg in 11

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Fakel Voronezh27 matchesZenit St. Petersburg27 matches
0.74 goals/matchGoals scored27/27▲ 1.67 goals/match
1.07 goals/matchGoals allowed27/27▲ 0.89 goals/match
1.11 xG/matchExpected goals25/25▲ 1.59 xG/match
10.1 shots/matchShots27/27▲ 13.1 shots/match
2.89 shots/matchShots on target27/27▲ 4.74 shots/match
44.6%Possession27/27● 63.4%
4.67 corners/matchCorners27/27● 6.41 corners/match
13.8 fouls/matchFouls27/278.59 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples27 / 27home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 6 May 2024, 19:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsFakel VoronezhZenit St. Petersburg
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2023/24
Head-to-headFakel Voronezh — Zenit St. Petersburg
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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