PitchMath
Premier League · 2023

Zenit St. Petersburg 0–1 CSKA Moscow · Premier League

0–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

CSKA Moscow won 0–1.

Shots
237
Shots on target
71
Expected goals
1.891.28
Possession
68%32%

Full time

What the match recorded

CSKA Moscow beat Zenit St. Petersburg 1–0. Recorded in this match (Zenit St. Petersburg – CSKA Moscow): shots 23–7, shots on target 7–1, expected goals 1.89–1.28, possession 68%–32%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Zenit St. Petersburg's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Zenit St. Petersburg's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.61 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.4 goals/match1.61 goals/match1.25 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

CSKA Moscow show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

CSKA Moscow's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

13.4 shots/match ▲ShotsZenit St. Petersburg · CSKA Moscow12.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricZenit St. PetersburgCSKA MoscowBaseline
Shots13.4 shots/match12.8 shots/match13 shots/match
Shots against8.71 shots/match12.5 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Zenit St. Petersburg have recorded the higher season possession share.

63.5% ●PossessionZenit St. Petersburg · CSKA Moscow48.7%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 14.9 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricZenit St. PetersburgCSKA MoscowBaseline
Possession63.5%48.7%49.4%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots23 shots7 shotsZenit St. Petersburg 23 shots, CSKA Moscow 7 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots1 shotZenit St. Petersburg 7 shots, CSKA Moscow 1 shot
  • Expected goals1.89 xG1.28 xGZenit St. Petersburg 1.89 xG, CSKA Moscow 1.28 xG
  • Possession68%32%Zenit St. Petersburg 68%, CSKA Moscow 32%
  • Corners17 corners0 cornersZenit St. Petersburg 17 corners, CSKA Moscow 0 corners
  • Fouls6 fouls18 foulsZenit St. Petersburg 6 fouls, CSKA Moscow 18 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Zenit St. Petersburg
1Draws
1CSKA Moscow
CSKA Moscow — Zenit St. Petersburg · Premier League1–1
CSKA Moscow — Zenit St. Petersburg · Premier League1–0
Zenit St. Petersburg — CSKA Moscow · Premier League2–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Zenit St. Petersburg favored in 7 of 11 directional metrics · CSKA Moscow in 1 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Zenit St. Petersburg28 matchesCSKA Moscow28 matches
1.61 goals/matchGoals scored28/28▲ 1.71 goals/match
0.89 goals/match ▲Goals allowed28/281.36 goals/match
1.6 xG/match ▲Expected goals26/261.47 xG/match
13.4 shots/matchShots28/2812.8 shots/match
4.82 shots/matchShots on target28/284.86 shots/match
63.5% ●Possession28/2848.7%
6.79 corners/match ●Corners28/284.46 corners/match
8.5 fouls/matchFouls28/2811.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples28 / 28home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 11 May 2024, 20:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsZenit St. PetersburgCSKA Moscow
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2023/24
Head-to-headZenit St. Petersburg — CSKA Moscow
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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