PitchMath
Premier League · 2023

CSKA Moscow 2–2 Rubin Kazan · Premier League

2–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

CSKA Moscow and Rubin Kazan drew 2–2.

Shots
1513
Shots on target
711
Expected goals
1.581.6
Possession
61%39%

Full time

What the match recorded

CSKA Moscow and Rubin Kazan drew 2–2. Recorded in this match (CSKA Moscow – Rubin Kazan): shots 15–13, shots on target 7–11, expected goals 1.58–1.6, possession 61%–39%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Rubin Kazan's recent record differs from the season

weak

Rubin Kazan's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.96 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match0.96 goals/match1.26 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots15 shots13 shotsCSKA Moscow 15 shots, Rubin Kazan 13 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots11 shotsCSKA Moscow 7 shots, Rubin Kazan 11 shots
  • Expected goals1.58 xG1.6 xGCSKA Moscow 1.58 xG, Rubin Kazan 1.6 xG
  • Possession61%39%CSKA Moscow 61%, Rubin Kazan 39%
  • Corners7 corners1 cornerCSKA Moscow 7 corners, Rubin Kazan 1 corner
  • Fouls9 fouls7 foulsCSKA Moscow 9 fouls, Rubin Kazan 7 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0CSKA Moscow
1Draws
0Rubin Kazan
Rubin Kazan — CSKA Moscow · Premier League0–0

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: CSKA Moscow favored in 5 of 11 directional metrics · Rubin Kazan in 2 · 4 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

CSKA Moscow27 matchesRubin Kazan27 matches
1.74 goals/match ▲Goals scored27/270.96 goals/match
1.41 goals/matchGoals allowed27/27▲ 1.22 goals/match
1.48 xG/match ▲Expected goals25/261.35 xG/match
13 shots/match ▲Shots27/2711.9 shots/match
5 shots/match ▲Shots on target27/274.26 shots/match
49.3% ●Possession27/2745.7%
4.63 corners/match ●Corners27/274.44 corners/match
11.4 fouls/matchFouls27/2713.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples27 / 27home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 6 May 2024, 21:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsCSKA MoscowRubin Kazan
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2023/24
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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