PitchMath
Premier League · 2023

Lokomotiv Moscow 1–0 FC Rostov · Premier League

1–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Lokomotiv Moscow won 1–0.

Shots
812
Shots on target
41
Expected goals
0.531.19
Possession
39%61%

Full time

What the match recorded

Lokomotiv Moscow beat FC Rostov 1–0. Recorded in this match (Lokomotiv Moscow – FC Rostov): shots 8–12, shots on target 4–1, expected goals 0.53–1.19, possession 39%–61%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

FC Rostov's recent record differs from the season

moderate

FC Rostov's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.44 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match1.44 goals/match1.26 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Both teams have elevated corners records

weak

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

6.07 corners/match ●CornersLokomotiv Moscow · FC Rostov5.67 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricLokomotiv MoscowFC RostovBaseline
Corners6.07 corners/match5.67 corners/match4.98 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots8 shots12 shotsLokomotiv Moscow 8 shots, FC Rostov 12 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots1 shotLokomotiv Moscow 4 shots, FC Rostov 1 shot
  • Expected goals0.53 xG1.19 xGLokomotiv Moscow 0.53 xG, FC Rostov 1.19 xG
  • Possession39%61%Lokomotiv Moscow 39%, FC Rostov 61%
  • Corners3 corners8 cornersLokomotiv Moscow 3 corners, FC Rostov 8 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls9 foulsLokomotiv Moscow 13 fouls, FC Rostov 9 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Lokomotiv Moscow
1Draws
1FC Rostov
FC Rostov — Lokomotiv Moscow · Premier League1–0
FC Rostov — Lokomotiv Moscow · Premier League1–3
Lokomotiv Moscow — FC Rostov · Premier League2–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Lokomotiv Moscow favored in 3 of 11 directional metrics · FC Rostov in 4 · 4 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Lokomotiv Moscow27 matchesFC Rostov27 matches
1.67 goals/match ▲Goals scored27/271.44 goals/match
1.37 goals/match ▲Goals allowed27/271.48 goals/match
1.55 xG/matchExpected goals27/241.61 xG/match
13.4 shots/matchShots27/27▲ 14.6 shots/match
4.74 shots/matchShots on target27/274.7 shots/match
52.1%Possession27/27● 54.6%
6.07 corners/match ●Corners27/275.67 corners/match
12.4 fouls/matchFouls27/2710.9 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples27 / 27home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 6 May 2024, 21:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsLokomotiv MoscowFC Rostov
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2023/24
Head-to-headLokomotiv Moscow — FC Rostov
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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